When Will the Protests Start in Russia?
by #WilliamSpaniel
13:57

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZbxlbARt-3E

The situation in Russia is getting worse. So when will protestors make it out on the streets. Or, alternatively, why haven't they already?

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
William Spaniel is professor at the University of Pittsburgh. He makes research on war, nuclear security and game theory

#Ukraine
#russia
#Ukrainerussiawar
#NAFO

When Will the Protests Start in Russia?

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The Tricky Timing of the Fall of Putin
by #WilliamSpaniel
13:57

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JH9GXmVQ7RE

Why the timing of a potential Putin departure might matter: Ukraine's ability to return to its pre-invasion borders depends both on who might follow Putin in office and who is currently president of the United States.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
William Spaniel is professor at the University of Pittsburgh. He makes research on war, nuclear security and game theory

#Ukraine
#russia
#Ukrainerussiawar
#NAFO

The Tricky Timing of the Fall of Putin

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Why Russia’s Recession Won’t Revive Recruitment Rates
by #WilliamSpaniel
09:32

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vE3_BHG2yCM

Russia’s economy has hit a recession. (Kind of.) With the Kremlin simultaneously having its cash well run dry, this would seem to have an even worse effect on recruitment rates.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
William Spaniel is professor at the University of Pittsburgh. He makes research on war, nuclear security and game theory

#Ukraine
#russia
#Ukrainerussiawar
#NAFO

Why Russia’s Recession Won’t Revive Recruitment Rates

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Eight Reasons for Cautious Optimism in Ukraine
by #WilliamSpaniel
11:20

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oCLqJAQK7Cg

PUTIN IS DONE is clickbait, but the situation is not looking great for Russia at the moment: a serious case for why Ukraine should be cautiously optimistic at the moment.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
William Spaniel is professor at the University of Pittsburgh. He makes research on war, nuclear security and game theory

#Ukraine
#russia
#Ukrainerussiawar
#NAFO

Eight Reasons for Cautious Optimism in Ukraine

YouTube

Damage Already Done: Zelensky Permits Putin to Put on a Parade
by #WilliamSpaniel
10:28

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uFqkpybMrio

Today, Russia held its annual Victory Day parade ---but only because Ukraine let it: the background behind today's ceasefire, why it was credible, and how Ukraine won the battle in the days before the ceasefire began

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
William Spaniel is professor at the University of Pittsburgh. He makes research on war, nuclear security and game theory

#Ukraine
#russia
#Ukrainerussiawar
#NAFO

Damage Already Done: Zelensky Permits Putin to Put on a Parade

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Do Territorial Concessions Beget Territorial Concessions?
by #WilliamSpaniel
14:14

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90d1dTTiXIc

Today's video examines a problem known as "bargaining over objects that influence future bargaining power."

If I make a territorial concession today, does that make my opponent better able to defeat me in a war tomorrow?

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
William Spaniel is professor at the University of Pittsburgh. He makes research on war, nuclear security and game theory

#Ukraine
#russia
#Ukrainerussiawar
#NAFO

Do Territorial Concessions Beget Territorial Concessions?

YouTube

Inside Ukraine’s Victory Day Strike Plan
by #WilliamSpaniel
15:04

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ds9yUBjAf8w

Russia's annual Victory Day Parade is scheduled on May 9: Ukraine's strategy for the parade, and what may or may not happen in the next few days.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
William Spaniel is professor at the University of Pittsburgh. He makes research on war, nuclear security and game theory

#Ukraine
#russia
#Ukrainerussiawar
#NAFO

Inside Ukraine’s Victory Day Strike Plan

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How Ukraine Is Having Its Way With Russian Air Defenses
by #WilliamSpaniel
14:32

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pK5M26vVhk

Ukraine is seemingly having its way with Russian air defenses, imposing "long-range sanctions" multiple times per week: the structural problems that Russia is having and that Ukraine is taking advantage of.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
William Spaniel is professor at the University of Pittsburgh. He makes research on war, nuclear security and game theory

#Ukraine
#russia
#Ukrainerussiawar
#NAFO

How Ukraine Is Having Its Way With Russian Air Defenses

YouTube

Is Russia at a Breaking Point?
by #WilliamSpaniel
15:53

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Is8pyNyGgS4

What is happening inside of Russia, and how that might affect what will happen to Ukraine?

How accurate the "PUTIN IS DONE" and "RUSSIA IS BROKEN" narratives are.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
William Spaniel is professor at the University of Pittsburgh. He makes research on war, nuclear security and game theory

#Ukraine
#russia
#Ukrainerussiawar
#NAFO

Is Russia at a Breaking Point?

YouTube

Russia's Arsenal After Ukraine: Will There Be Anything Left?
by #WilliamSpaniel
10:18

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JNaroaeplZA

Suppose that the Kremlin could mobilize popular domestic support for a war with Europe.

Does any of that matter if Russia has no armaments left?

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦
William Spaniel is professor at the University of Pittsburgh. He makes research on war, nuclear security and game theory

#Ukraine
#russia
#Ukrainerussiawar
#NAFO

Russia's Arsenal After Ukraine: Will There Be Anything Left?

YouTube