https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-026-10237-9
"extreme #global #climate outcomes may occur even under moderate 2 °C #warming for several sectors. For #droughts in global key breadbasket regions, #precipitation extremes over highly populated areas and fire #weather extremes across #forests, global #climatic impact-drivers at 2 °C of global warming may turn out to be much more extreme than model-averaged projections at 3 °C or 4 °C warming"
And Jim Hansen is suggesting that we may hit 1.7 degrees this year.
The Nino index (Nino3.4) has just reached Nino-neutral, but global SST (sea surface temperature) has matched the highest level for this date, which was achieved during the last El Nino. Super warming is clear. Look for a global temperature soon of at least +1.7C, even if the "Super" El Nino turns out to be half-baked. The University of Maine Climate Change Institute has a spectacular interactive graphic that they update daily. It is a valuable research and communications tool. Link to graph: https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/?dm_id=world2
https://substack.com/@jimehansen/note/c-236053169?r=7frnz
"Super #warming is clear. Look for a #global# temperature soon of at least +1.7C, even if the "Super" #ElNino turns out to be half-baked."
For the love all that you hold dear - #US #Canada #Europe - please open your borders and allow people from #Asia #Africa to escape the hell that they are hurtling toward. Don't wait for the catastrophe to happen.
#climate #climatechange #climatecrisis #extinction #adaptation #migration #immigration #justice #humanrights #survival
The Nino index (Nino3.4) has just reached Nino-neutral, but global SST (sea surface temperature) has matched the highest level for this date, which was achieved during the last El Nino. Super warming is clear. Look for a global temperature soon of at least +1.7C, even if the "Super" El Nino turns out to be half-baked. The University of Maine Climate Change Institute has a spectacular interactive graphic that they update daily. It is a valuable research and communications tool. Link to graph: https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/sst_daily/?dm_id=world2
summer's eve haiku.
in spring, I hope, by mere chance.
may you bare summer.
#haiku #senryu #poem #humor #pun #ShortPoem #SmallPoem #SmallPoems #spring #summer #climate #heat #warming #GlobalWarming #seasons #UnseasonableWeather #MastoPrompt #DailyHaikuPrompt #beauty
Report Shows Earth’s Climate is Out of Balance, as Indicators Hit New Extremes
The world is in a state of climate emergency, the head of the United Nations declared Sunday, following…
#NewsBeep #News #Headlines #carbondioxide #Climatechange #greenhousegas #greenhousegasemissions #greenhousegases #u.n. #UnitedNations #warming #World #WorldMeteorologicalOrganization
https://www.newsbeep.com/449019/
Paul Beckwith, a climate science educator, goes through James Hansen's recent warnings about a coming "Super El Niño".
This video (24:48) assumes a small amount of background in math and science, enough to read time/temperature graphs, but is generally quite accessible in its explanations. He walks through a lot of good stuff like how the El Niño / La Niña cycle works, what some of the "forcings" are that are driving some of these things, why things like aerosols matter, what different models show, what the consensus predictions have been and why Hansen's predicting something substantively stronger.
It's a pretty worrisome set of things, but Hansen has been an important voice in the climate conversation, and I think Beckwith's presentation is pretty level—trying to just walk through the information dispassionately in a way that can help you understand the science part.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tP3VQk3mIgQ
Note: Notwithstanding the use of em dash, this post was written by a human.
#climate #ElNiño #ElNino #SuperElNiño #SuperElNino #ClimateModels #ClimateModeling #warming #heat #GlobalWarming #aerosol #aerosols #OceanWarming #ClimateSensitivity #ClimateScience #science #co2 #IPCC #forcing #Greenhouse #JamesHansen #PaulBeckwith #video #YouTube
Super El Nino? Super #Warming is the Main Issue - James Hansen
An #ElNino is anticipated to begin later this year and peak in 2027. The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model predicts a strong “Super” El Nino.
https://jimehansen.substack.com/p/super-el-nino-super-warming-is-the #climate #ClimateChange #GlobalWarming #GlobalHeating
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