“Iran War: The Road To Ruin” - The Honest Sorcerer https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/iran-war-the-road-to-ruin

Another must-read article from The Honest Sorcerer. As always, get ready for a “bath of reality”, as we say in Spanish…

#Collapse #THS #TheHonestSorcerer #War #Iran #MiddleEast

Iran War: The Road To Ruin

...or how a holiday from reality comes to an end

The Honest Sorcerer
"Everything Is Under Control… Until It Isn’t"

https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/everything-is-under-control-until

> The limits of self-organization and optimization

I like the Honest Sorcerer's depiction of the current state of Humanity, and the current cycle of civilisation, which will end like others (or worse, maybe in a final nuclear Armageddon, not being able to surpass its technological adolescence, as Carl Sagan putand Nate Hagens recently brought up)

#THS #TheHonestSorcerer #collapse #autophagy

The Honest Sorcerer: Wetiko: The Psychosis Eating The World Alive

The predicaments we face today have much deeper roots than what could be explained away with ‘capitalism bad’ or ‘fossil fuels bad’. We adopted a deeply flawed way of thinking, globally. More than anything else, we thus need a shift away from this damaged mindset, not a material energy transition into oblivion.

#TheSorcerer #TheHonestSorcerer #Wetiko #Collapse

"Running on Empty: Copper" - The Honest Sorcerer

https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/running-on-empty-copper

> How peak copper arrived and went completely unnoticed

Please read this article to see clearly how most people advocating for the so called "energy transition" are usually energy-blind, and also materials-(or resources-)blind. The numbers don't add up. Copper demand is expected to rise as copper discoveries have plummeted, and each new discivery has a lower grade (thus higher energy and materials requirements). What lies ahead is what Nate Hagens calls "The Great Simplification", and the only doubt is whether it will be chaotic or ordered. Seeing geopolitical events, I think it will be the former. Maybe we could have adapted all the economic and production system when we were still in relative abundance, had we heeded the warnings, which were already being announced. But now, in the middle of the crisis... I think we'll just have World War 3, which will serve as an excuse for the fall.

#PeakCopper #Copper #Collapse #Energy #EnergyTransition #TheHonestSorcerer #TGS
"Are We Sleepwalking Into a Diesel Shortage?"

https://thehonestsorcerer.medium.com/are-we-sleepwalking-into-a-diesel-shortage-a7354dc4da84

> The gasoil crisis, after simmering on the back burner for a while, seems to be ready to boil over again.

#Collapse #TheHonestSorcerer #Diesel #PeakOil

“Europe’s Remilitarization Myth” - The Honest Sorcerer

https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/europes-remilitarization-myth

Europe is re-militarizing as part of the ReArm Europe Plan (now renamed to Readiness 2030). The “ambitious defence package, providing financial levers to EU Member States to drive an investment surge in defence capabilities” enables the spending of over €800 billion, structured around increased public expenditure, capital markets and European Investment Bank lending. That is, financed entirely from debt (1). While one could argue whether Europe indeed faces a real security threat (more on that later), one thing is clear: re-militarizing Europe will be extremely expensive… And not only in monetary and social terms. Political views about perceived or real threats aside there is a strong case to be made that this initiative (if fully implemented) will pull the continent further deeper into the vortex of its accelerating economical and geopolitical decline.

#Europe #Militarisation #TheHonestSorcerer #ReArm #Rwadiness2030

Europe's Remilitarization Myth

Why building on the success of rearmament is a bad idea

The Honest Sorcerer
"What a Year 2024 Was" - The Honest Sorcerer

https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/what-a-year-2024-was

> "How energy and resource depletion undermined the post WWII world order and democracy"

> «Simply put: there is no such thing as an “energy transition”. It’s a myth. All proposals, from wind and solar to hydrogen, depend on minerals mined, delivered and refined by using these polluting fuels in copious amounts. As soon as the extraction of fossil fuels begin to decline, you can bet that the production of solar panels and wind turbines will eventually follow suit. And since diesel fuel is also used to grow and deliver crops, the question whether to burn it to mine minerals for EV batteries, or use it to grow food to prevent hunger will resolve itself rather quickly. And only when you add our propensity for war whenever resources grow thin, you start to really appreciate the relative peace and calm we have today.»

#TheHonestSorcerer #Collapse #2024 #SenecaCliff
What a Year 2024 Was

How energy and resource depletion undermined the post WWII world order and democracy

The Honest Sorcerer
"Collapse Will Look Nothing Like the Movies"
https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/collapse-will-look-nothing-like-in

«Modern, overdeveloped societies in the West are already in a severe crisis, which will eventually turn into a long global emergency in the decades ahead. A five-century-long era of economic growth, ushered in by colonization and leading to the plundering of natural, mineral and most of all fossil fuel resources, is about to come to its logical endpoint. While it’s nearly impossible to tell precisely how or when the decline of modern civilization will unfold, one thing is for sure: it will look nothing like Hollywood movies.»

#Collapse #TheHonestSorcerer #Hollywood #PeakEverything
Collapse Will Look Nothing Like the Movies

Modern, overdeveloped societies in the West are already in a severe crisis, which will eventually turn into a long global emergency in the decades ahead.

The Honest Sorcerer