LONDON OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 36% (-7)
π΅ Conservatives: 24% (+3)
βͺ Reform UK: 13% (+4)
π Liberal Democrats: 12% (+1)
π’ Green Party: 12% (+2)
Conducted 30 October - 11 November 2024. Changes with 2024 general election.
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GB SNAP BUDGET OPINION POLL
Snap opinion polling* on the budget by #Savanta:
Increased NHS funding:
ππΌ Support: 71%
ππΌ Oppose: 15%
Raising minimum wage:
ππΌ Support: 69% (Nice)
ππΌ Oppose: 14%
Fuel duty freeze:
ππΌ Support: 63%
ππΌ Oppose: 14%
Rise in employer NI contributions:
ππΌ Support: 37%
ππΌ Oppose: 33%
Increasing bus fare cap:
ππΌ Support: 23%
ππΌ Oppose: 52%
Polling on 30 October 2024.
* Immediate reactions often change significantly after a few weeks.
GB OPINION POLL ACCURACY
The worst 5 pollsters for accuracy were (in descending order):
NCP (#NCP)
Savanta (#Savanta)
Redfield & Wilton (#RedfieldWilton)
Opinium (#Opinium)
People Polling (#PeoplePolling)
All the other MRP polls were pretty far off the mark, but the wooden spoon goes to #Savanta who were absolutely miles off the mark across the board:
π΄ Labour: -105
π΅ Conservatives: +68
π Liberal Democrats: +22
π‘ SNP: +1
βͺ Reform UK: +5
π» Plaid Cymru: 0
π’ Greens: +4
They also had terrible accuracy for individual seats and the worst website writeup:
Savanta, in partnership with Electoral Calculus and the Telegraph, today publishes our first MRP model of the 2024 General Election based on 17,812 respondents conducted online between 7th and 18th June 2024.
GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 39% (=)
π΅ Conservatives: 20% (-4)
βͺ Reform UK: 17% (+4)
π Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
π’ Green Party: 5% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 2% (-1)
Labour lead of 19 points.
Conducted 2-3 July 2024. Changes with 28-30 June 2024.
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SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π‘ SNP: 34% (=)
π΄ Labour: 31% (-3)
π΅ Conservatives: 15% (+1)
π Liberal Democrats: 9% (+2)
βͺ Reform UK: 6% (=)
π’ Greens: 3% (+1)
Conducted 28 June - 2 July 2024. Changes with 21-26 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #scotpol #Scotland #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #ReformUK #SNP #GreenParty #ScottishGreens #GE2024
LONDON OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 49% (-6)
π΅ Conservatives: 19% (-3)
βͺ Reform UK: 11% (+3)
π Liberal Democrats: 10% (=)
π’ Green Party: 6% (+1)
β« Others: 5% (+4)
Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 10-18 June 2024.
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2ND SCOTLAND OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention from a Scotland poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 34% (-4)
π‘ SNP: 34% (+1)
π΅ Conservatives: 14% (-1)
π Liberal Democrats: 7% (=)
β« Others: 10% (+3)
Conducted 21-26 June 2024. Changes with 14-18 June 2024.
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GB OPINION POLL
Headline Westminster voting intention from poll by #Savanta:
π΄ Labour: 42% (+2)
π΅ Conservatives: 19% (-2)
βͺ Reform UK: 16% (+2)
π Liberal Democrats: 9% (-2)
π’ Green Party: 5% (+1)
π‘ SNP: 3% (=)
Labour lead of 23 points.
Conducted 19-21 June 2024. Changes with 14-16 June 2024.
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #ReformUK #SNP #GE2024
Projected national voteshare from the #Savanta MRP above:
π΄ Labour: 44%
π΅ Conservatives: 23%
βͺ Reform UK: 13%
π Liberal Democrats: 12%
π’ Green Party: 4%
π‘ SNP: 3%
#ukpolitics #ukpol #polling #Labour #Conservatives #LibDems #GreenParty #SNP #ReformUK #MRP #GE2024
Savanta, in partnership with Electoral Calculus and the Telegraph, today publishes our first MRP model of the 2024 General Election based on 17,812 respondents conducted online between 7th and 18th June 2024.
UK Election Results