Global investment banks expect the PBOC to cut policy rates by up to 20bp and the RRR by up to 100bp in 2026, with the yuan likely to strengthen as the US-China yield gap narrows and Chinese exports recover.
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[2026 China Monetary Policy] Policy Rate to Fall 10–20bp—Yuan Strength Expected
Global investment banks expect the PBOC to cut policy rates by up to 20bp and the RRR by up to 100bp in 2026, with the yuan likely to strengthen as the US-China yield gap narrows and Chinese exports recover.
Chinese state media reports that the People’s Bank of China is expected to cut the reserve requirement ratio by 50–100bp and interest rates by 10–20bp in 2025, with experts forecasting a gradual and selective pace of monetary easing.
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Chinese State Media Outlines 2025 Monetary Easing Outlook—Reserve Requirement Ratio Seen Down 50–100bp
Chinese state media reports that the People’s Bank of China is expected to cut the reserve requirement ratio by 50–100bp and interest rates by 10–20bp in 2025, with experts forecasting a gradual and selective pace of monetary easing.
PBoC Governor - '50bp Cut in Reserve Requirement Ratio, 10bp Cut in Benchmark Interest Rate'
China's central bank announces significant monetary easing measures, cutting reserve requirement ratio by 50 basis points and benchmark interest rate by 10 basis points to support economic growth
PBoC Governor - 'RRR Cut to Inject 1 Trillion Yuan Liquidity'
China's central bank announces major liquidity boost through reserve requirement ratio reduction, signaling proactive monetary policy stance amid economic challenges
China's Central Bank Governor - 'We Will Cut Reserve Requirement Ratio'
People's Bank of China signals monetary easing with plans to reduce reserve requirement ratio, aiming to boost economic growth amid ongoing challenges
PBoC Governor - 'Interest Rate and Reserve Requirement Ratio Cuts at Appropriate Time'
PBoC Governor Pan Gongsheng signals potential interest rate and reserve requirement ratio cuts, aligning with China's economic stimulus efforts and maintaining yuan stability
PBoC Governor - 'Interest Rates and Reserve Requirement Ratio to be Cut at Appropriate Time'
China's central bank signals potential monetary easing, hinting at future cuts to interest rates and reserve requirement ratio to support economic growth
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