RAND report:
When Should We Worry About AI Being Used to Design a Pathogen?
Key takeaways:
In 2025 and the near term, AI is and will likely continue to be an assistive tool rather than an independent driver of biological design.
No fundamental biological limits exist that would prevent AI from eventually having the capability to design pathogens.
As AI models become more capable, the risk landscape is shifting and is expected to expand over the longer term (i.e., after 2027), although experts were very uncertain how rapidly capabilities would evolve.
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RBA4087-1.html
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