UK Government Borrowing Surpasses Forecasts in April Amid Rising Costs

📰 Original title: Government borrowing higher than expected in April

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#economy #ukeconomy #governmentborrowing #publicfinances

UK Government Borrowing Surpasses Forecasts in April Amid Rising Costs

In April, the UK government's borrowing reached £24.3 billion, significantly exceeding both the figure from the same period last year and the £20.9 billion projected by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). Despite higher tax revenues, increased spending on benefits and other public services drove the borrowing surge. Benefit expenditure rose by £2.7 billion, mainly due to inflation-linked increases and the earnings-related rise in the state pension. Debt interest payments also hit a record £10.3 billion for April, up £0.9 billion from last year. Economists note that the higher borrowing reflects substantial government spending and could influence fiscal policy decisions in the coming months. Separate data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) indicated a 1.3% drop in retail sales volumes in April, largely due to falling motor fuel sales. The combination of rising energy prices, slower economic growth, and elevated public borrowing presents a challenging fiscal environment. In response, the government has announced measures to ease the cost of living, including reduced VAT on family day out tickets, free bus travel for under-16s in August, and import tax cuts on certain foods, funded partly by changes to taxes on UK-based oil and gas firms. Analysts warn that borrowing may remain high throughout the year, potentially requiring adjustments in fiscal policy at the autumn Budget.

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“Burnham's ​#economic pitch hinges on convincing sceptical #bond #investors that his plans would strengthen the #publicfinances in the long run.” www.reuters.com/world/uk/man...

Manchester's 'King of the Nort...

We're often told that the public debt ratio to GDP, and its breaching of 100% of GDP is a major political issue; the sort of signal that suggest fiscal management is not going well for a Govt.

So what if we know that such debt levels are (of course) subject to revisions as better data arrives, and that actually UK public debt has remained in the region of 95% for the last four years even if initial estimates sometimes have it as over 100%.

Perhaps we should be less concerned?

#PublicFinances

#IMF: the #global #fiscal #deficit remained at 5% of #GDP in 2025. Gross public debt rose to 94% of GDP and is projected to reach 100% by 2029—one year earlier than expected just a year ago. #Publicfinances in many countries are weaker than before the pandemic.

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