Brian Kelley3h ago
Latest 12z HRRR guidance seems to be shifting the focus of the region’s isolated tornado threat tonight north into Philly metro into the Lehigh Valley and northwestern New Jersey. #phillywx #njwx
theweatherguy3h ago

Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST - #Philadelphia #weather #PAwx #PhillyWx

The forecast for today remains mostly unchanged. Despite a forecast heard on the radio last night for showers this afternoon, it appears that showers and thunders… https://buff.ly/jpMAff0

Brian Kelley1d ago
SPC shows a marginal (2-4%) probability for an isolated tornado or two around Philly and South Jersey Sunday evening. 12z HRRR showing some SIGTOR values close to 1.0 and a decent supercell signature near Philly and into the Trenton area in the 8-9 pm EDT timeframe. Let’s see how this shakes out. Be alert Sunday night. #njwx #phillywx
theweatherguy1d ago

Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST - #Philadelphia #weather #PAwx #PhillyWx

Weekend Forecast Update
Posted Saturday 06/13/26 @ 7:19 AM — Last night's models have come into agreement… https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=27079

theweatherguy1d ago

Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts
WEEKEND WEATHER FORECAST - #Philadelphia #weather #PAwx #PhillyWx

High pressure on northwesterly winds will reduce the humidity and temperatures on Saturday. An approaching c… https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=27079

Show threadBrian Kelley2d ago
Very odd…today should be a more widespread severe event than yesterday around here because of the dynamics and the front coming through, but the CAMs are really not seeing that at all, even on the latest 12z guidance. #njwx #phillywx
Show threadBrian Kelley2d ago
Well, the 12z NAM 3K lost any storms by late morning today and shows just a broken line moving through Central Jersey to the coast around 5 p.m. It keeps heavier stuff north and south of NJ. Not really buying that. Meso models are struggling with today’s setup. #njwx #phillywx
Brian Kelley2d ago
Hmm...this morning's 06z NAM 3K run is showing a line of storms moving through Philly and South Jersey as early as 11 am EDT this morning — at the same time the model is showing marginal conditions for an isolated tornado around the region. #njwx #phillywx
theweatherguy2d ago

Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts
THIS WEEK’S WEATHER - #Philadelphia #weather #PAwx #PhillyWx

Storms Thursday Evening

Updated Thursday 06/11/26 @ 4:40 PM —The models show the heaviest storms will be … https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=27061

THIS WEEK’S WEATHER - Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts

#Philadelphia #weather #PAwx #PhillyWx Storms Thursday Evening Updated Thursday 06/11/26 @ 4:40 PM —The models show the heaviest storms will be in the western suburbs of Philadelphia this evening. The storms may weaken considerably as they move into NJ. Updated Thursday 06/11/26 @ 12:05 PM — The edge of a tropical airmass will be at

Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts - Weather... and Other Things 'Up in the Air'
theweatherguy2d ago

Philadelphia Weekend Weather & Storm Forecasts
THIS WEEK’S WEATHER - #Philadelphia #weather #PAwx #PhillyWx

Storms Thursday Evening

Updated Thursday 06/11/26 @ 12:05 PM — The edge of a tropical airmass will be at … https://theweatherguy.net/blog/?p=27061