A quotation from Josh Billings

The time tew be karefullest iz when we hav a hand full ov trumps.
 
[The time to be carefullest is when we have a hand full of trumps.]

Josh Billings (1818-1885) American humorist, aphorist [pseud. of Henry Wheeler Shaw]
Josh Billings’ Farmer’s Allminax, 1870-06 (1870 ed.)

More about this quote: wist.info/billings-josh/75899/

#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #joshbillings #advantage #care #carefulness #caution #certainty #confidence #control #expectations #overconfidence #winning

Billings, Josh - Josh Billings' Farmer's Allminax, 1870-06 (1870 ed.) | WIST Quotations

The time tew be karefullest iz when we hav a hand full ov trumps. [The time to be carefullest is when we have a hand full of trumps.] Repeated in Everybody's Friend, Or; Josh Billing's Encyclopedia and Proverbial Philosophy of Wit and Humor, ch. 156 "Affurisms: Embers on the Harth"…

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Bagaimana Mengelola Overconfidence Setelah Serangkaian Profit

#Tradingan - Bagaimana Mengelola #Overconfidence Setelah Serangkaian Profit - Dalam dunia #trading, setiap trader pasti pernah merasakan euforia setelah serangkaian profit. Rasanya luar biasa ketika #strategi yang dijalankan berhasil memberikan hasil positif, #grafik saldo akun meningkat, dan kepercayaan diri melonjak. Namun, di balik momen kemenangan itu, tersembunyi ancaman #psikologis yang sering kali…

https://tradingan.com/bagaimana-mengelola-overconfidence-setelah-serangkaian-profit

Bagaimana Mengelola Overconfidence Setelah Serangkaian Profit - Tradingan

#Tradingan - Bagaimana Mengelola #Overconfidence Setelah Serangkaian Profit - Dalam dunia #trading, setiap trader pasti pernah merasakan euforia setelah serangkaian profit. Rasanya luar biasa ketika #strategi yang dijalankan berhasil memberikan hasil positif, #grafik saldo akun meningkat, dan kepercayaan diri melonjak. Namun, di balik momen kemenangan itu, tersembunyi ancaman #psikologis yang sering kali tidak disadari —

Tradingan - Belajar Trading di Broker Terbaik
🎉 Ah, yes, the classic tale where #AI models are the ultimate enablers of delusional self-confidence! 🤖 Clearly, #ChatGPT is the proud sponsor of every amateur philosopher's journey into the abyss of misguided wisdom 💡—because who needs facts when you have overconfident ignorance? 😂
https://bytesauna.com/post/dunning-kruger #Delusions #AmateurPhilosophy #MisguidedWisdom #Overconfidence #HackerNews #ngated
LLMs are steroids for your Dunning-Kruger | ByteSauna

ChatGPT and LLMs amplify both insight and illusion. They are not knowledge engines, but confidence engines shaping how we think and learn.

Driving - perception and self confidence vs the reality

The study found that 86 per cent of men feel safe behind the wheel compared with 78 per cent of women. Yet Department for Transport figures for 2024 show that men accounted for 76 per cent of all road fatalities and 61 per cent of casualties of all severity.

Ban male drivers?

http://archive.today/2025.11.05-200857/https://www.thetimes.com/life-style/driving/article/men-confident-drivers-women-department-transport-figures-fvtcds2bh

#Driving #RoadSafety #Death #Injury #UK #OverConfidence

Are we teaching students AI competence or dependence? https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/impactofsocialsciences/2025/10/17/are-we-teaching-students-ai-competence-or-dependence/
"Universities face a clear decision: do we want graduates who can merely use #AI, or citizens who can think with it?

The first path—continuing current approaches—produces students who appear competent but cannot function intellectually without AI assistance. They become sophisticated content consumers rather than independent thinkers.

The second path requires courage to acknowledge current failures and commitment to genuine educational reform. It means prioritising intellectual struggle over efficient content production, critical evaluation over polished outputs, and sustainable learning over short-term performance gains."
#metacognitiveLaziness #overconfidence #education

Are we teaching students AI competence or dependence? - Impact of Social Sciences

Can you universities overcome the mismatch between current teaching and learning practices, their evaluation and the ubiquitous use of AI?

Impact of Social Sciences - Maximizing the impact of academic research

Menghindari Bias Emosi dalam Trading Setelah Profit Besar (Overconfidence Trap)

#Tradingan - Menghindari #Bias Emosi dalam #Trading Setelah Profit Besar (#Overconfidence Trap) - Dalam dunia trading, setiap #trader tentu menginginkan momen ketika grafik bergerak sesuai prediksi dan akun mereka menunjukkan angka profit besar. Momen ini sering kali menimbulkan rasa bangga dan kepercayaan diri tinggi, seolah semua #analisis dan #strategi akhirnya membuahkan hasil. Namun,…

https://tradingan.com/menghindari-bias-emosi-dalam-trading-setelah-profit-besar-overconfidence-trap

Menghindari Bias Emosi dalam Trading Setelah Profit Besar (Overconfidence Trap) - Tradingan

#Tradingan - Menghindari #Bias Emosi dalam #Trading Setelah Profit Besar (#Overconfidence Trap) - Dalam dunia trading, setiap #trader tentu menginginkan momen ketika grafik bergerak sesuai prediksi dan akun mereka menunjukkan angka profit besar. Momen ini sering kali menimbulkan rasa bangga dan kepercayaan diri tinggi, seolah semua #analisis dan #strategi akhirnya membuahkan hasil. Namun, di balik

Tradingan - Belajar Trading di Broker Terbaik

A quotation from A. A. Milne

Kanga said to Roo, “Drink up your milk first, dear, and talk afterwards.” So Roo, who was drinking his milk, tried to say that he could do both at once … and had to be patted on the back and dried for quite a long time afterwards.

A. A. Milne (1882-1956) English poet and playwright [Alan Alexander Milne]
Winnie-the-Pooh, ch. 10 “Christopher Robin Gives a Pooh Party” (1926)

More info about this quote: wist.info/milne-a-a/2842/

#quote #quotes #quotation #qotd #aamilne #winniethepooh #kanga #roo #milk #drinking #eating, #mouth #overconfidence #mess

Conspiracy theorists are often overconfident and believe their fringe views are mainstream, overestimating public agreement by a huge margin. This overconfidence acts as a buffer, making them resistant to facts. It's not about being "dumb"—it's a deep-seated trait that makes debunking incredibly difficult. #ConspiracyTheories #CognitiveBias #Overconfidence