oatmeal#WMD [2025] / Fake it till you make it...
#Israel gets a lot of assistance from the Iranian opposition, including fabricating a narrative of imminent danger (which in Israel, even those who oppose the war sort of believed). But to “finish the job”, presumably a regime change in Iran, Israel needs the U.S. Which pretext is #Netanyahu going to come up with next?
Clearly, the #US and #Israel share intelligence on #Iran's nuclear program. Israel, or #Netanyahu rather, has been claiming for years that Iran is rapidly approaching nuclear weapon capability, requiring immediate action. The US intelligence assessments though have concluded that Iran is not actively pursuing a nuclear weapon.
[…] Israel has spoken for years about a "credible military threat," without which diplomacy with Iran would fail. It turns out that the military threat was not credible. Israel had power, but the Iranians did not believe in its existence or the American willingness to use it. June 13 is seemingly the opposite of October 7, because this time Israel surprised and attacked and was not surprised and defended, but the two polar military moves have a common denominator - the failure of deterrence, against both Hamas and Iran.
[…] Two days before the air strike that started the war, an event was held in Washington that could have awakened the #Tehran authorities from their complacency: the opposition organization #NCRI revealed in the media and sent to Trump and the #IAEA data on secret progress in the nuclear weapons channel, in a project called "Kabir." American intelligence has not yet addressed the veracity of the claims of those who long for the #Shah.
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/06/17/politics/israel-iran-nuclear-bomb-us-intelligence-years-away
Hebrew https://www.haaretz.co.il/opinions/2025-06-16/ty-article-opinion/.premium/00000197-780e-da11-a797-f87e904f0000 or https://archive.is/JAzTd
Israel says Iran was racing toward a bomb. US intelligence says it was years away
When Israel launched its series of strikes against Iran last week, it also issued a number of dire warnings about the country’s nuclear program, suggesting Iran was fast approaching a point of no return in its quest to obtain nuclear weapons and that the strikes were necessary to preempt that outcome.
Flancian
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Farhad
General Strike Now
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