"We only have preliminary, widely ranging estimates for the 2024–2025 flu season. But we can say that there were roughly 2-3x the number of flu to Covid hospitalizations and about five times the number of flu infections, comparing the low and high ends of each estimate to one another. On the low end, death counts were about equal, but on the high end, flu deaths were more than double."

https://theprogressnetwork.substack.com/p/covids-quiet-retreat

#covid19 has added to the stock of human misery even so.

Via #MarginalRevolution

Covid's Quiet Retreat

The cause of a generation-defining pandemic has become just another ordinary disease.

The Progress Network

"I think Elon Musk’s judgment started to worsen sometime around 2020. He was always mercurial, somewhat impulsive, prone to setting unrealistic timelines, and at times needlessly combative. However, I held hope that his positive qualities, which helped lead Tesla and SpaceX to tremendous success, would win out and he would reign in his worst tendencies. Sadly, the opposite happened, and now I no longer trust his leadership of Tesla."

https://strangecosmos.substack.com/p/self-driving-cars-arent-nearly-a?triedRedirect=true

Via #MarginalRevolution

#TSLA

Self-driving cars aren’t nearly a solved problem

Contrary to popular belief, Waymos aren't actually fully autonomous, and the problem is harder than it may seem

Strange Cosmos by Yarrow Bouchard

#MarginalRevolution's most popular posts of 2025. Here's one to consider:

"I am myself (largely) a cultural liberal [... but] let us be clear what is going on. The right-wing populists are gaining ground in so many countries because the cultural liberals in various parliaments and congresses are extremely reluctant to meet the preferences of their median voters. On the immigration issue most of all. And then they wish to talk about threats to democracy!"

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/08/a-median-voter-theory-of-right-wing-populism.html

#politics

A median voter theory of right-wing populism - Marginal REVOLUTION

From a recent paper: Populists are often defined as those who claim that they fill “political representation gaps” -differences between the policymaking by established parties and the “popular will.” Research has largely neglected to what extent this claim is correct. I study descriptively whether representation gaps exist and their relationship with populism. To this end, I analyze […]

Marginal REVOLUTION
A Very Big Fight Over a Very Small Language

Romansh, a Swiss language spoken by a tiny fraction of the population, comes in five major versions. Simon Akam reports from Switzerland about the verbal avalanche that ensued when reformers tried to entrench the tongue by standardizing it.

The New Yorker
Tom Stoppard's Ordinary Magic

“The ordinary-sized stuff which is our lives…”

The Common Reader

On discute la #polqc sur #MarginalRevolution cette fin de semaine, en particulier la nouvelle loi sur la laïcité.

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/11/saturday-assorted-links-537.html

Saturday assorted links - Marginal REVOLUTION

1. Rising tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea. 2. On Nucleus Genomics. 3. Dog diversity comes early in the history of dog domestication, and is connected also to the trade in canines. 4. Review of Sanna Marin. 5. Why did the Harappans decline? 6. Quebec moves against various public displays of religion.

Marginal REVOLUTION

"Mexico is now the world’s top buyer of U.S. goods, according to data released by the U.S. government on Wednesday, outpacing Canada for the first time in nearly 30 years."

#Mexico is also the top exporter to the US; Canada is number 3.

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/11/mexico-facts-of-the-day-6.html

See also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_largest_trading_partners_of_the_United_States , but note that the table is more up-to-date than the graphic.

#trade
#MarginalRevolution

Mexico facts of the day - Marginal REVOLUTION

I have been expecting this for a long time, but it came more quickly than I thought: Mexico is now the world’s top buyer of U.S. goods, according to data released by the U.S. government on Wednesday, outpacing Canada for the first time in nearly 30 years. The data highlighted how Mexico and the United […]

Marginal REVOLUTION

#MarginalRevolution points to a new paper claiming that increased housing costs are responsible for "51% of the total fertility rate decline between the 2000s and 2010s" in the US. Some interesting comments too.

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/11/housing-costs-and-fertility.html

(Polls show that women want to have more children than they actually do have. We should learn what the impediments are.)

#economics #fertility #UofT

Housing costs and fertility - Marginal REVOLUTION

Many developed countries face low and falling birthrates, potentially affected by rising costs of housing. Existing evidence on the fertility-housing cost relationship typically uses geographic variation (raising selection issues), neglects unit size, and says little about policy. To progress on these fronts, I first specify a dynamic model of the joint housing-fertility choice allowing choices […]

Marginal REVOLUTION

In "The world turned upside down" Searle related this conversation with Foucault about Derrida:

'Michel Foucault once characterized Derrida’s prose style to me as “obscurantisme terroriste.” The text is written so obscurely that you can’t figure out exactly what the thesis is (hence “obscurantisme“) and then when one criticizes it, the author says, “Vous m’avez mal compris; vous êtes un idiot” (hence “terroriste“)."

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/09/monday-assorted-links-528.html#comments

#MarginalRevolution
#JacquesDerrida #MichelFoucault

Monday assorted links - Marginal REVOLUTION

1. The real secret and meaning of The Beatles. 2. Large-brained humans have been around longer than we had thought? 3. Tallest bridge in the world opened, with coffee shop at the top. 4. John Searle, RIP.  And a defense of John. 5. Collison on Rockefeller. 6. DeLong on AI and existential risk. 7. Secretary-General […]

Marginal REVOLUTION
Where has beauty gone in the modern world? - Marginal REVOLUTION

From David Perell and Cultural Tutor, a preview of a longer film to come:

Marginal REVOLUTION