Daniel Fischer4d ago
Preliminary Nucleus Size Estimate for #Kreutz Sungrazer C/2026 A1 (MAPS): https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/2515-5172/ae5220 -> "JWST imagery of the approaching Kreutz sungrazer C/2026 A1 (MAPS) appears sufficient to distinguish the comet’s nucleus from the surrounding dust. Coma model fitting indicates the morphology is compatible with a ∼0.4 km diameter nucleus—likely larger than those of the minor Kreutz fragments routinely discovered with coronagraphs, and comparable to or slightly smaller than that of C/2011 W3 (Lovejoy). However, since C/2026 A1 is the only Kreutz sungrazer whose nucleus has been directly observed, these comparisons should be treated with caution" -> https://groups.io/g/comets-ml/message/35035 / https://scicomm.xyz/@qicheng@cometary.org/116245251072721081
Show threadDaniel FischerMar 10
The #Kreutz #comet #MAPS "has become more than 1 mag brighter between March 6 and 9" and stands at 10.5 mag. right now: https://groups.io/g/comets-ml/message/35019 and https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=2374472359736249 with the latest picture by Jäger & Rhemann here - less than 4 weeks til perihelion, and the brightness continues to rise with a strong n~8 ...
Show threadDaniel FischerMar 4

So the new #Kreutz #comet #MAPS is *still* following the constant rapid rise in brightness it has shown since discovery: a dumb extrapolation - https://cobs.si/analysis/?comet=2688&from_date=2026-01-15+00%3A00&to_date=2026-04-30+00%3A00&observation_type=V&observation_type=C&plot_x_value=1&plot_y_value=1&fit_option=1&exclude_faint=on&exclude_issue=on&observer=&association=&country=&compare_values=compare - has it get 10,000-times brighter than the Sun at its extremely close perihelion which makes so sense at all, of course, physically.

"It must therefore be assumed that this increase in activity will level off significantly in the near future," writes https://fg-kometen.vdsastro.de/koj_2026/c2026a1/26a1eaus.htm: "More likely are parameters m m0=12.0 mag / n=4 (or even lower), which would still result in a (very short-term) maximum brightness of about –9 mag (but this would probably still be significantly too bright) – always assuming that the comet survives its perihelion passage unscathed."

For other views see http://www.cbat.eps.harvard.edu/iau/cbet/005600/CBET005663.txt and https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.17626 and https://www.facebook.com/photo?fbid=10236580364221799 and https://cometografia.es/cometa-kreutz-2026-a1-maps-analisis/ - and the actual brightness is tracked at https://cobs.si/obs_list?id=2688 where it has reached ~11.5 mag. now.

Daniel FischerFeb 20
"The most recent orbital computations make it increasingly likely that the object [the new #Kreutz comet MAPS] is a fragment of one of the comets observed by Ammianus Marcellinus in AD 363, thereby strengthening evidence in support of the contact-binary hypothesis of the Kreutz system," writes Zdenek Sekanina in https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.17626: "In this context, the comet is the only second-generation fragment of Aristotle's comet that we are aware of to appear after the 12th century. It does not look like a major fragment, but rather like an outlying fragment of a much larger sungrazer."
Show threadDaniel FischerFeb 6
When checking the brightness development of the fascinating #Kreutz #comet #MAPS with https://cobs.si one sees that the observations so far all nicely sit on a standard comet curve with a high n of ~6.7 i.e. the nucleus responds vividly but also calmly to the increasing solar heat. While the extrapolation with three different models is quite something, with peak magnitudes - directly next to the Sun in the sky, of course - of either -5 mag., -20 mag. or -40 mag. Scary stuff ... ;-) But seriously, some special math for sungrazer brightness trends will kick in at some point before perihelion is reached.
Show threadDaniel FischerJan 24
The new #Kreutz #comet is now C/2026 A1 (MAPS): http://www.cbat.eps.harvard.edu/iau/cbet/005600/CBET005658.txt and https://www.spaceobs.com/en/Alain-Maury-s-Blog/The-discovery-of-comet-C-2026-A1-MAPS and https://www.minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K26/K26BC9.html - whether it will reach and survive #perihelion is highly uncertain but there is hope as https://www.facebook.com/groups/227002358661288/posts/1670699484291561 and https://groups.io/g/comets-ml/topic/117373975#msg34667 explain. And if MAPS makes it to perihelion and is (very) bright then coronagraphs on the ground might be able to catch it against the inner corona as the following table - calculated with https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons/app.html#/ - shows.
Show threadDaniel FischerJan 23
The new #Kreutz #comet discovered unusually early has been named C/2026 A1 (MAPS): https://www.minorplanetcenter.net/mpec/K26/K26BC9.html - see https://www.spaceobs.com/en/Alain-Maury-s-Blog/The-discovery-of-comet-C-2026-A1-MAPS for the discovery story and http://www.cbat.eps.harvard.edu/iau/cbet/005600/CBET005658.txt and https://www.facebook.com/groups/227002358661288/posts/1670699484291561 (!) and https://groups.io/g/comets-ml/topic/117373975#msg34667 for diverging views about its chance of survival when it races a mere 160,000 km over the #photosphere on 4 April and becoming a bright comet.
Daniel FischerJan 17
Will THIS become the comet of the year if not decade? "6AC4721" doesn't even have a proper number or name but it is on a #Kreutz orbit that will bring it very close to the Sun in April - and was discovered already farther from the Sun than even Ikeya-Seki, whatever that means: https://www.facebook.com/groups/227002358661288/posts/1665380981490078/ and https://astronomynow.com/2026/01/16/potentially-bright-sungrazing-comet-discovered/ and https://x.com/JAtanackov/status/2012283238807482804 discuss the uncertain outcome of the adventure. In any case here is the comet last night: "Kreutz Comet 6AC4721 is currently brighter than expected,." write G. Rhemann and M. Jäger: "A deeper image from Namibia (Jan 16.91, 12“/3.6 12x120sec with Asi 6200) already shows a 2' coma and 85” coma in Pa 41. The total brightness measured with the Tycho Tracker was 16m5."
Westport ObservatoryOct 27, 2024

The 'Halloween Comet' Appears to Be Disintegrating in Space: A comet that was predicted to become bright enough to see with the naked eye at Halloween seems to be disintegrating right before our eyes.
https://www.shiningscience.com/2024/10/the-halloween-comet-appears-to-be.html

#C2024S1 #Comet #Kreutz #Sungrazer #Fizzle #Halloween

The 'Halloween Comet' Appears to Be Disintegrating in Space

A comet that was predicted to become bright enough to see with the naked eye at Halloween seems to be disintegrating right before our eyes. ...

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Westport ObservatorySep 30, 2024

NOT ONE, BUT 2 BRIGHT COMETS IN OCTOBER? HERE COMES A BIG NEW SUNGRAZING COMET: Astronomers are monitoring a new comet discovered just a few days ago by the ATLAS survey. It appears to be unusually big, and could become a significant naked-eye object by the end of October. Experts say if it survives its close encounter with the sun--a big IF--it could rival Comet Lovejoy in 2011. Meanwhile, we're still hoping to get a glimpse of Comet C/2023 A3 here in New England. https://www.Spaceweather.com

Image: Comet A3 by Fritz Helmut Hemmerich on September 30, 2024 from Tenerife-Canary Islands-Spain

#Comet #C2023A3 #A11bP7I #Spain #Kreutz

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