„Living beyond limits“ –   ein Alarmruf nach dem Verfehlen der Klimaziele

https://wittenbrink.net/living-beyond-limits-ein-alarmruf-nach-dem-verfehlen-der-klimaziele/

"Science is crystal clear here. Our only chance to recover to a stable and safe climate is to accelerate the phase-out of fossil fuels, remove carbon, and invest in nature (on land and in the ocean), and do that without trading off between them."

/by #JamesDyke #JohnanRockström
/via #TheConversation

https://theconversation.com/the-world-lost-the-climate-gamble-now-it-faces-a-dangerous-new-reality-270392

#Cologne #ClimateJustice

"Science is crystal clear here. Our only chance to recover back to a stable and safe climate is to accelerate the phase-out of fossil-fuels, remove carbon and invest in nature (on land and in the ocean), and do that without trading off between them."

/by #JamesDyke #JohnanRockström
/via #TheConversation

https://theconversation.com/the-world-lost-the-climate-gamble-now-it-faces-a-dangerous-new-reality-270392

#Cologne #ClimateJustice #Feminism #YouthForClimate

RE: https://mstdn.social/@DarkOptimism/115525692449127859

Looking forward to listening in on #RogerHallam, #DanaFisher, #JeremyLent and #JamesDyke discuss collapse and dark optimism from 5:30pm, and then rounding off the festival with my workshop on how to live into it from 6:30pm today 🙂

#afineSunday

3 climate scientists spit their dummy https://theconversation.com/the-overshoot-myth-you-cant-keep-burning-fossil-fuels-and-expect-scientists-of-the-future-to-get-us-back-to-1-5-c-230814
#JamesDyke @jamesdyke , #RobertWatson and #WolfgangKnorr clean up after the #netZero party, carry #CDR #BECCS and #SRM out to the trash, sweep the floor with #overshoot scenarios before binning them, too.
It's a longish read. But since these 3 are real climate scientists in the trenches, their angry explosion is worth my time. I kept reminding myself who I am "listening to" because so much of it is my own vocabulary and anger, and I rarely if ever see the message put so clearly, bar all the ballads of utopia and hopium.

2 things I'd like to see now: en lieu of "2050 net zero", a timing for [avoiding] the civilisation crash, considering all milestones and deadlines for them.
I have done one. And one milestone deadline, a prerequisite for a subsequent 5year project in social politics, is end of 2024.

And the other thing, en lieu of SRM research, a new emission scenario to be filled with a new science body: SSP0-2040 or RCPcollapse2040 which inform the global ~40% crash survivors what changes to expect in regional climate and biosphere.
I have started on it. Taking the analog of the 1610 event, when 56mio Americans died and CO2 dropped by 7-11 ppm. From there we can look at, when civilisation crashes, how all the land is freed up currently under industrial agriculture use for the consumerism in EU and USA-CAN. This also includes all tropical ex-rainforest areas bc China's imports will cease as well when supply chains for fossil fuels break.
And while survival rate in rural China and other non-rich, non-tech-dependent rural regions is high-ish, (so their land use for energy is going to increase),
populations in EU and USA-CAN will almost vanish. Freeing up the whole landmass for plants.
A much larger area than 1610.

How big is the drop in CO2?
What are the side effects on regional level?
What steps need to be taken before the crash in order to save the environment from decades or century-long industrial and radiation pollution from all the suddenly unmanned factories, fossil extraction sites, nuclear reactors? Especially mid-latitude pollution must be prevented so that survivors can leave their own eventually inhospitable climate zones to migrate there, without facing a 3 times reduced life expectancy due to untreated cancers.
Such a short life expectancy is too little time for amassing then-relevant knowledge and skills and to hand it over to next generations. Too short for meaningful survival.