Centuries of net-negative emissions are required to secure a safe climate future, two studies suggest
Two new studies conclude that stabilizing long-term #climate risks will require sustained net-negative carbon dioxide (#CO2) #emissions for centuries. Approaching the problem from distinct perspectives—legal and technological feasibility on the one hand, and economic optimization under uncertainty on the other—the research converges on a consistent message:
--> reaching net zero is not enough.
Both studies were led by researchers from the Exploratory Modeling of Human-natural Systems Research Group of the #IIASA Advancing Systems Analysis Program and underline that achieving the #ParisAgreement goals will demand durable commitments to large-scale #CarbonDioxide removal (#CDR) extending far beyond current policy timelines.
Stabilizing #SeaLevelRise and #permafrost thaw demands long-term carbon removal commitments
https://phys.org/news/2026-03-centuries-net-negative-emissions-required.html
Two new studies conclude that stabilizing long-term climate risks will require sustained net-negative carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions for centuries. Approaching the problem from distinct perspectives—legal and technological feasibility on the one hand, and economic optimization under uncertainty on the other—the research converges on a consistent message: reaching net zero is not enough.
"As global temperatures move beyond 1.5 °C, overshoot now defines the landscape ahead, sharpening legal claims, exposing economic risks and revealing how far politics still trail the pace of change."
And at that point the author is silenced by a demand for money.
Meanwhile and unfortunately the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis is paying a talented journalist to compile and explain reality only to people who already know it.
The rest of us (who need exposure to facts) cannot read the result.
#IIASA might want to reconsider delivery methods. Springer-Nature already has grifted ample funds by ransoming important information.
Fanny Böse ist die Frau des Jahrhunderts (und ihr Team).
Weil sie fundiert ausspricht, was im Grunde in der Luft liegt:
#Atomkraft war nie rentabel und wird es leider leider auch nie sein – völlig egal in welcher Form.
In your Face, #IIASA + #PNNL !
Und danke an Fanny und die TU Berlin, das ein für alle mal klargestellt zu haben.
https://www.golem.de/news/nukleares-energieparadox-small-modular-reactor-vermutlich-niema ls-wirtschaftlich-2602-205409.html
(Link auf die originale Arbeit im Artikel)
Last week, two colleagues from @Umweltbundesamt and myself visited #IIASA in Laxenburg, Austria to kickstart a cooperation with their Integrated Assessment modeling team. Thank you all for the discussions and hospitality.
🎉 It's official: In an in-house research project, UBA is working on the use and further development of the #IntegratedAssessmentModel (#IAM) “MESSAGEix” by @IIASAVienna. As part of the cooperation UBA will build in-house capacities to develop #ClimateScenarios: https://www.umweltbundesamt.de/en/topics/uba-iiasa-cooperate-on-modelling-climate-action
"Wenn wir die Ziele des #ParisAgreement nicht einhalten, kosten uns die Folgen der #Klimakrise viel mehr, als wenn wir das Geld dafür ausgeben, um das Problem in den Griff zu bekommen. Und nur wenn wir die Entwicklungsländer unterstützen, können wir den #Klimawandel eindämmen und die Folgen in Österreich 🇦🇹 entschärfen."
Sagt Keywan #Riahi vom #IIASA im Gespräch mit Benedikt Narodoslawski (@derStandard) https://www.derstandard.at/story/3000000245264/top-forscher-keywan-riahi-ueber-oesterreichs-schuld-am-klimawandel
How can we reach the Sustainable Development Goals (#SDGs) and fulfill our #climate ambition? This is explored by a multi-model study by @PIK_climate, #IIASA, #PBL and other teams in the #SHAPE project.
And I'm excited that all scenario data is available under #CC_BY via an #IIASA #ScenarioExplorer, using our brand-new database infrastructure and a new web front-end...
https://shape.apps.ece.iiasa.ac.at
Scenarios from Integrated Assessment & energy systems models are an important part of the policy discourse for getting to net-zero.
#IIASA, #IAMC and the #EarthFund are starting a new initiative to make these scenarios more accessible and actionable!
#ScenarioCompass
scenariocompass.org/news
Working with #NUTS administrative EU 🇪🇺 regions is one of the little nuisances in #energysystems modelling and scenario analysis.
So the #IIASA #ScenarioServices team put together a little #opensource #python utility package so that modelers can focus on #freethemodels and don’t have to spend too much time on data-wrangling…
#pysquirrel #ScientificSoftware
https://github.com/iiasa/pysquirrel
"Jetzt rückt uns der Klimawandel wirklich auf den Pelz"
"Nach 26 Jahren an der Spitze des Potsdam-Instituts für Klimafolgenforschung geht Hans Joachim Schellnhuber in den Ruhestand. Es gäbe die Möglichkeit, ..."
https://www.deutschlandfunk.de/klimaforscher-schellnhuber-wir-muessen-unsere-zivilisation-100.html
So hieß es im DLF am 26.09.2018.
Heute, am 26.9.2024, war Schellnhuber wieder eine Dreiviertelstunde im Gespräch mit dem DLF.
https://www.deutschlandfunk.de/zeitzeugen-im-gespraech-der-klimaforscher-hans-joachim-schellnhuber-dlf-472c1fed-100.html
"Das Pariser Abkommen war eine Luftnummer."
Es konnte nur zustandekommen, weil niemand verpflichtet wurde.
https://science.apa.at/power-search/9334425406180290409
https://science.orf.at/stories/3220500/
#Klima #Forscher #Schellnhuber #PotsdamInstitut #IIASA #dlf
Nach 26 Jahren an der Spitze des Potsdam-Instituts für Klimafolgenforschung geht Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber in den Ruhestand. Es gäbe die Möglichkeit, komplett aus der CO2-Emission auszusteigen, sagte der Klimaforscher im Dlf. Fraglich sei, ob dies schnell genug geschehe, um den Klimawandel noch zu stoppen.
Demographic Research
O=C=O
Doug Bostrom
Herr Irrtum! 🔊
Niklas Roming
Daniel Huppmann
Georg Nowak