Another, democratic, world is possible. With structural change and collective action grounded in critical theory, queer ecology, and historically informed action in the long now.
#thelongnow #criticaltheory #futures #queer #ecology #democracy
Another, democratic, world is possible. With structural change and collective action grounded in critical theory, queer ecology, and historically informed action in the long now.
#thelongnow #criticaltheory #futures #queer #ecology #democracy
"The logic behind prediction markets is unlike a poll or a pundit. Instead, the bettor has to publicly put money on the line about their expectations and will lose hard cash for being wrong. This should incentivize accuracy, but only if one assumes the money on the line reflects genuine belief rather than privileged access.
Evidence that it may reward privileged access to information is accumulating."
#Polymarket #Kalshi #betting #gambling #futures #InsiderTrading #Trump #Iran #war
/2
Ashley Splawinski looks at the Kalshi and Polymarket betting markets where people have made money betting on who will be killed next and when, and explains why we're not likely to see much regulation of those markets soon.
There's the fact that Donald Trump Jr. is on Polymarket's advisory board and is a strategic advisor with Kalshi.
#Polymarket #Kalshi #betting #gambling #futures #InsiderTrading #Trump #Iran #war
/1
https://donmoynihan.substack.com/p/the-polymarket-nobody-knows-how-to
"One of monetising whatever possible, from the presidency to your online presence, and turning the public into marks. There is a promise that anyone can achieve the same success as the hustler."
#Trump #Iran #war #Polymarket #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets #futures #profiteering #InsiderTrading
/3
"As a result of these transactions, people are naturally asking if it is possible that the president of the United States or his associates are illegally profiting from political power, while also finding that it is almost impossible to answer that question. ...
There is a wider cultural shift, one that is being consolidated in the White House and disseminated on betting platforms."
#Trump #Iran #war #Polymarket #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets #futures #profiteering #InsiderTrading
/2
"Before the US attack on Iran, several new accounts on the platform predicted the timing of the US/Israeli strikes, just 24 hours before they happened. The same pattern was identified after the US coup in Venezuela in January. A single account, set up only a few days before military action occurred, made more than $400,000."
~ Nesrine Malik
#Trump #Iran #war #Polymarket #Kalshi #PredictionMarkets #futures #profiteering #InsiderTrading
/1
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2026/mar/30/trump-bombs-betting-markets-speculators
#Futures rise despite correction fears, as #Iran conflict and labor data shape a volatile, shortened week
#Trump #StockMarket #MarketInsider
https://marketinsider.net/u-s-stocks-edge-higher-as-war-jitters-meet-dip-buying/