JP Morgan Says Japan’s Long-Term Yields Remain Too Low
JP Morgan warns that Japan’s long-term yields remain too low given its record G7 debt, forecasting higher risk premiums for JGBs and the yen as fiscal risks rise.
CDS premiums for major advanced economies including the US, Japan, UK, and France have all surpassed South Korea’s, reflecting rising fiscal risks and shifting global credit perceptions, with Japan and the UK notably losing their traditional credit advantage over Korea.
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Major Advanced Economies See Fiscal Stability Waver as CDS Premiums Surpass South Korea
CDS premiums for the US, Japan, UK, and France have all surpassed South Korea’s, signaling rising fiscal risk and a shift in global credit perceptions for major advanced economies.
South Korea’s won is expected to trade in the high 1,390s against the dollar as global fiscal and political risks drive safe-haven demand, with dealers citing potential for further gains if the 1,400-won level is breached, though exporter sales and intervention concerns may cap upside.
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[Today's Forex Dealer Expected Exchange Rate Range]Dollar-Won Expected to Trade in High 1,390s as Safe-Haven Demand Rises on Global Fiscal, Political Uncertainty
South Korea’s won is expected to trade in the high 1,390s against the dollar as global fiscal and political risks drive safe-haven demand, with dealers citing potential for further gains if the 1,400-won level is breached, though exporter sales and intervention concerns may cap upside.
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