Let's look at Europe in March of 2026:
It is energetically dependent (to an existential-level threat) on a superpower that has officially documented its intent to dissolve European liberal institutions and fund their far-right opponents.
It has traded Russian pipeline leverage for American LNG leverage, with a $750 billion deal that locks that in through 2028 at minimum.
It faces a live energy shock from Hormuz that neither US LNG capacity nor Qatari alternatives can rapidly substitute.
It entered this crisis with historically low gas storage precisely when it needed buffer.
It dismantled nuclear baseload on ideological grounds, and that capacity is now gone for a generation.
Washington chose to start a US-Iran-Israel war with full knowledge of the energy consequences for Europe, not that it matters, EU can't really do much but stomach it, and actually fully support the war hoping it will end soon so business as usual can resume in Hormuz.
After years of trying to accommodate Washington in every possible way, it has become evident that the approach does not work. The Trump administration clearly considers European subservience a sign of weakness.
In the meantime, people here will tell you "see how beautiful EU is, we have USB-C", these people are either naive or part of an astroturfing campaign.
ReArmEU, Digital Sovereignty, Omnibus are all the desperate attempts of a bureaucratic class that knows their Mandate of Heaven was pulled.
Moreover, Europe needs a post-EU future.
#EU #EUPol #Iran #war #Hormuz #EUPolitics #Geopolitics