Mastodawn

How early is too soon for midterm polls? G. Elliott Morris explores how public sentiment shifts more in the year leading to elections than just the last month. Historically, the out-of-power party gains ground over time, making early polls directionally useful but not definitive. Delve into Morris’s insightful analysis to understand the nuances of election polling: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/when-midterm-polls-matter #Midterms #Polling #ElectionInsights. G. Elliott Morris provides a truly insightful read!

How early is too early to look at midterm polls?

Early generic ballot polls are directionally useful, but the party out of power historically gains about 5 points between now and November

WYM Mod Nov 25

Could ranked-choice voting transform presidential primaries? G. Elliott Morris explores how RCV might reveal crucial voter "lanes" and ideological trends, despite not eliminating primary chaos. He also clarifies common poll model questions and shares insights on political biases in polling. Dive deeper into his insights here: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/what-if-america-used-ranked-choice #RankedChoiceVoting #PollAnalysis #ElectionInsights

What if America used ranked-choice voting for presidential primaries?

Plus: an update on non-voters; the secret sauce behind my polling models; and updating my list of political biases and how I account for them. This is the Strength In Numbers November 2025 Q&A.

Strength In Numbers

vaarthahindi Sep 26

Latest Hindi News: Survey Report: There will be no major change in the voting pattern in Bihar
https://hindi.vaartha.com/national/survey-report-there-will-be-no-major-change-in-the-voting-pattern-in-bihar/64376/
#BiharElections2025 #VotingPattern #ElectionSurvey #BiharPolitics #ElectionTrends #PoliticalSurvey #VotingBehavior #BiharElectionSurvey #ElectionInsights #PoliticalStability #BiharNews #ElectionReport #NDA #Mahagathbandhan #BiharPolls #ElectionUpdates #IndianPolitics #VoterSurvey #ElectionAnalysis #PoliticalNews

Latest Hindi News : सर्वे रिपोर्ट : बिहार में वोटिंग पैटर्न में नहीं होगा बड़ा बदलाव

बिहार में होने वाले आगामी विधानसभा चुनाव एक बार फिर जातीय समीकरण, गठबंधन और कल्याणकारी योजनाओं पर आधारित नजर आ रहे हैं।

Hindi Vaartha

WYM Mod Sep 25

Can clear charts mislead political analysis? G. Elliott Morris dives into how Searchlight Institute's seemingly solid polling may oversimplify Democrats' electoral issues by blaming focus on climate and LGBTQ rights. He warns that clean visuals can mask complex voter motives and urges deeper, unbiased research. Learn more: https://www.gelliottmorris.com/p/are-democrats-talking-too-much-about #DataViz #Polling #PoliticalAnalysis #ElectionInsights

Are Democrats "talking too much" about left-wing issues?

The data mostly do not justify the conclusions people are drawing

Strength In Numbers

Steffen H #FBPE #Democracy 🇺🇦Nov 14, 2024

Dive into this intriguing podcast episode as Sam Harris explores the aftermath of the 2024 presidential election. Gain valuable insights for the Democratic Party and uncover the potential impact of a second Trump term. Democrats, it's time to tune in and learn!🎙️🗳️ #ElectionInsights

Project L Nov 6, 2024

In this Election Insight podcast, we look at two issues: the challenges faced by disabled voters in Pennsylvania, and those faced by journalists while covering the 2024 US election.

Stay informed, join the conversation.

#ProjectL #Election2024 #VotingChallenges#JournalismMatters #ElectionInsights

Project L Nov 5, 2024

As we wait for the results to roll in, here’s a fascinating take from Darren Lilleker! In this tight race, Darren comments on the shifting dynamics among U.S. voters, especially men rallying behind Trump. What’s driving this? 

#ProjectL #USElection2024 #ElectionInsights