Tropical Weather Bulletin (Cyclone Vayu) - June 14, 2019 â Force Thirteen https://youtu.be/RG-AVB43UK8
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đ #Cyclone #Vayu on Nasa's Earth Data World View - 2019-06-13.
Current Intensity :
Category 3 Major Hurricane â Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm â Indian Meteorological Department's Tropical Cyclone Scale
5.1T â Advance Dvorak Technique Score (Cooperative Institute for Meteorolgical Satellite Studies)
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đ Cyclone Vayu has made Major Hurricane intensity, it is now a Category 3 on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, still a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm on the Indian Meteorological Department's Tropical Cyclone Scale.
It is just off the coast 100 km South Southwest of Porbandar.
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The storm surge warning from yesterday for đ Cyclone Vayu has been updated it is no longer 1.5 to 2 metre storm surge on top of the Astronomical tide but 0.6 to 1.3 metres
"Storm surge of height about 0.6m to 1.3 m above the astronomical tides likely to inundate the low lying coastal areas in the districts Gir Somnath, Diu, Junagarh, Porbandar and Devbhoomi Dwarka from the afternoon of 13th June 2019. "
source : http://rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in/images/cyclone_pdfs/indian_1560410685.pdf
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đ Cyclone Vayu looks like it might take the more Southern track now towards Oman sort of direction instead of making landfall though it will be a close graze and the Eyewall may start affecting land (A direct hit, the strongest part of a storm crosses the coast but the eye doesn't, the eye cross is required for it to be considered a landfall).
It is currently a Category 2 Hurricane (SSHWS), or Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (IMD).
Those near the Pakistan-Indian boarder still should stay aware as this storm still looks like it will significantly impact the area.
In the Bay of Bengal there is a huge flare of convective Thunderstorms in the Northern BoB which looks like a developing monsoon low which may develop into a Tropical Depression and maybe even a new Tropical Cyclone.
The next name in the North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Basin is 'Hikaa'.
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The Indian Meteorological Department's forecast for Storm Surge associated with đ Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Vayu.
"Storm Surge of Heights about 1.5 to 2 Metres above the Atronomical Tides are likely to inundate the low lying costal areas of Kutch, Devbhoomi, Dwarka, Porbandar, Junagarh, Diu, Gir Somnath, Amreli, and Bhavnagar Districts at the time of Landfall."
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The US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center's Track and Intensity Guidence Graphic for đ Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Vayu.
Source - https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/io0219.gif
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The GFS model for Wind speed and Mean Sea Level Pressure on đ Cyclone Vayu; Initialised 2019-06-12-0000UTC and runs for 78 hours (3 days and 6 hours).
Currently a Category 2 Hurricane (boardering on Cat 3 Major Hurricane) on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale and Very Severe Cyclonic Storm on the Indian Meteorological Department's Tropical Cyclone Scale.
Looking at this particular model run it appears it will make a double landfall weakening then quickly reintensifying for a second landfall.
Model Animation : Levi Cowan @ https://tropicaltidbits.com
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đ Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Vayu is now a Category 2 Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, Very Severe Cyclonic Storm on the Indian Meteorological Department's Tropical Cyclone Scale.
Cyclone Vayu makes closest approach to Mumbai - 7:30am IST June 12 â Force Thirteen https://youtu.be/cmbDuQFkFtM
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A coposite Satellite image of đ Cyclone Vayu exported from NASA's Earthdata worldview.
It is currently a Category 1 Hurricane on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Scale, and a Cyclonic Storm on the Indian Meteorological Department's Tropical Cyclone Scale.
You can see the cirrus clouds associated with the Central Dense Overcast and if you look carefully you can see quite subtle the eyewall and eye attempting to form properly.
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