📌 𝗜𝗻𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗼𝘂 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗼𝘅 ? 𝗟'𝗲𝘀𝗰𝗮𝗹𝗮𝗱𝗲 𝗱𝘂 𝗝𝗡𝗜𝗠 𝗮𝘂-𝗱𝗲𝗹𝗮̀ 𝗱𝘂 𝗦𝗮𝗵𝗲𝗹 : 𝗦𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗲𝘁 𝗰𝗵𝗲𝘀 𝗶𝗻𝗳𝗿𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗲𝗻 𝗔𝗳𝗿𝗶𝗾𝘂𝗲 𝗱𝗲 𝗹'𝗢𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁

https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1ATKgoUpNa/
𝗟𝗮 𝗯𝗼𝗻𝗻𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗰𝗿𝗲́𝗱𝗶𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗲 𝗹𝗲 𝗺𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗮𝗴𝗲.
#VDLV #CrisisGroup #Sahel #JNIM #AfriqueDeLOuest #Sécurité #Justice

#israel #palestine : #war / #gaza / #westbank / #relief / #settlers / #violence / #occupation / #ngo / #analysis

„Spurred by the Gaza war, Israel ramped up #repression of Palestinians and #settlementexpansion in the West Bank, along with #economicstrictures. In this Q&A, #CrisisGroup expert Max Rodenbeck explains the harm these measures have caused and how outside powers can help stop them.“

https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/israelpalestine/why-some-relief-gaza-none-west-bank

"Ukraine’s Most Plausible Security Guarantee Will Not Come from the U.S."

"""
Even if the president’s mind were not made up (it is), this U.S. posture is consistent with longstanding policy and has a bipartisan pedigree. President Joe Biden also showed no interest in offering Ukraine a security guarantee. His team machinated behind the scenes to keep such conversations from moving too far at NATO convenings. (In its final months, the Biden administration floated a proposal to extend a hollow “invitation” to Ukraine to join the alliance at an unspecified future date, with the idea that doing so would allow Zelenskyy to signal the Ukrainian public that he had secured their future, while allowing NATO to avoid an actual commitment.)
[...]
[There is nothing to gain from] any continued efforts to extract U.S. guarantees in any form. Not only would this approach fail, but it would also feed a corrosive right-wing “MAGA” narrative that Washington’s partners are trying to drag the U.S. into World War III.
"""

#ukraine #peace #crisisgroup

https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia/eastern-europe/ukraine-united-states-europe-central-asia/ukraines-most-plausible-security-guarantee

(This is a bit old, March 7)

NEW PUBLICATION FROM #CrisisGroup
#WatchList 2024 - Autumn Update

https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/watch-list-2024-autumn-update

Update on the status in Haiti from
Renata Segura of #crisisgroup:

"CARICOM had requested Haitian political forces to send a proposal for creating a transitional government. They received 7 instead.

The meeting in Jamaica ended with white smoke of sorts: [the current president] oledged to resign, and a 7 member presidential council was created with representation from multiples parties (including Henry's). The council will chose a new prime minister.

This is a huge deal, as negotiations to form a new gvt has stalled for years. However, the immediate emergency is the security situation. Gang leader Chérizier said yesterday (before CARICOM's announcement) that Vin Ansanm would NOT recognise a new gvt resulting from [the meeting in] Jamaica.

The question is how to respond now to the security crisis. The Mission led by Kenya is preparing to deploy, but the biggest ? is if it will be able to arrive fast enough to prevent gangs from taking control of the entire capital."

https://x.com/renaticas/status/1767560321042952216

Mexican cartel provided wifi to locals – with threat of death if they didn’t use it | Mexico | The Guardian
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/jan/04/mexican-cartel-forces-locals-pay-makeshift-wifi

#Mexico
#Cartel
#WiFi
#ThreatOfDeath
#NarcoAntennas
#Michoacan
#ExcessiveCosts
#LosViagras
#Telmex
#Slim
#CrisisGroup

#Ukraine and #Israel / #Gaza
The bigger picture laid out in this podcast is complicated and shows how much the so called world order is changing:

https://shows.acast.com/hold-your-fire/episodes/gaza-ukraine-and-an-inflection-point-in-world-politics

#CrisisGroup #MiddleEast #Russia #US

War in Sudan: „A disaster of epic dimensions“

Listen to the latest episode of the Hold Your Fire! - Podcast:
A Long War Looming in Sudan

„Almost three months into the war in Sudan […] the fighting shows no sign of slowing. Khartoum remains the epicentre, but Sudan’s periphery, especially the West Darfur region, has seen a dramatic resurgence in intercommunal violence.“

https://shows.acast.com/hold-your-fire/episodes/a-long-war-looming-in-sudan

#sudan #WestDarfurviolence #CrisisGroup