Amodei, Altman, labour market forecasts, alleged unemployment, shifting skills, and seller hoaxes.
Yes, the discussion deserves a lot of attention, but at this stage the hype mixed with communication from lobbies and pure sales activities leads to putting together easy correlations on some data.
Even two years ago hallucinating scenarios were told (or rather here, hallucinated 🙃), related to the adoption of GenAI.
When we look at these scenarios today, in the light of the real data not on adoption but above all on the steps backwards compared to corporate contracts, we realise that things are always a little more complicated on the ground.
It is true that automation takes away space for juniors, but it is also true that for everyone else new figures are becoming necessary, IT jobs are not decreasing (despite the initial layouffs rushed by many US companies that now re-employ them with different job descriptions), because today there are gains in overall productivity that are laughable with an increase in pressure on individuals (and the levelling logics suggest that when a technology reaches everyone, it increases performance but not the volume of work).
Drawing conclusions in these moments, when you are too attentive to bubbles like this here - and less to data and research (the real one, not the one of the sellers' reports!) - leads to bad decisions.
#Amodei #Altman #LabourMarket #FutureOfWork #Unemployment #SkillShift #Automation #GenAI #TechTrends #DataAnalysis #CorporateTech #Productivity #ITJobs #TechInsights #HallucinatingScenarios #TechHype #ResearchMatters #TechDecisions
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