🧐A contrarian quote🕵🏻‍♂️

“Follow the course opposite to custom and you will always do well.”

Jean Jacques Rousseau (1712 - 1778)

Portrait by François Guérin 🖌️🎨👨🏻‍🎨

I recently finished reading a second hand beaten up copy of “10 Years of Wall Street” from the Fraser contrary opinion library, written by Lawyer and chess strategist ♟️, Barnie F. Winkleman during the hight of the great depression, which I found by chance in a second hand book sale. 🏦

#Markets #Finance #contrarianism

The Most Important Album of 1968 Wasn’t The White Album. It Was Beggars Banquet.

It saved the Rolling Stones and altered the trajectory of music history.

Pocket

“Understand that there is a big difference between second order thinking and just being a contrarian, while the former is about analyzing/predicting subsequent implications of our decisions beyond the obvious ones and the latter is about just taking the other side of the bet.”

#SecondOrderThinking #contrarianism

https://open.substack.com/pub/models/p/second-order-thinking

Second Order Thinking

Second order thinking is the ability to look beyond the initial consequences of an action.

Mental Models

"Over the last decade or so, I’ve been a strong advocate for #criticalthinking, a discipline that can transform lives and give us a new conception of what it means to understand reality. It’s no stretch to say that “everything changes when you adopt a worldview that embraces critical thinking.”

Pseudo-skepticism - What is Not Critical Thinking - Critikid
https://critikid.com/pseudoskepticism

#cynicism
#Contrarianism
#Denialism
#FLICC
#pseudoskepticism
#misinformation

Pseudo-skepticism - What is Not Critical Thinking - Critikid

How critical thinking differs from cynicism, contrarianism, and denialism

Critikid
@shonin "Industrial"? Cottage industry maybe. #Contrarianism

He uses rhetoric with an apparent pretext of supporting LGB people to get at the T people, and we shouldn’t forget that part of his goal is to get at the LGB people too.
https://buff.ly/48XI4Ne

#LGBTQ #BrendanONeill #Transphobia #Homophobia #Contrarianism #LGBAlliance

The People Who Use LGB-Minus-T Are Homophobes | Prism & Pen

Yes, everyone may speak their mind. What's on mine: Gay organizations that are trans-exclusive are homophobic too in complicated ways. Homophobes love this.

Prism & Pen
If all the truths you believe in are (currently) socially acceptable, you might not be thinking enough.
#contrarianism
@cian @NicoleCRust market implies antimarket ;) (#contrarianism)

Column from Paul Krugman that begins asking why some rich Silicon Valley elites are supporting the kooky Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and ends in a different place. Are they just cynically using him to undermine the Democratic Party, or do they sincerely believe the crazy things they're saying?

Krugman argues that it's at least partly the latter, that rich elites are disproportionately likely to be crazy, and for an interesting reason: they're unusually likely to fall victim to reflexive contrarianism, because it was part of their success.

“One sad but true fact of life is that most of the time conventional wisdom and expert opinion are right; yet there can be big personal and social payoffs to finding the places where they’re wrong. The trick to achieving these payoffs is to balance on the knife edge between excessive skepticism of unorthodoxy and excessive credulity.

It’s all too easy to fall off that knife’s edge in either direction.”

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/06/opinion/robert-kennedy-jr-silicon-valley.html

#krugman #politics #SiliconValley #contrarianism

Opinion | The Rich Are Crazy for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Why does Silicon Valley love RFK Jr.?

The New York Times

Oooh my #contrarianism loves this headline!

Population Decline Will Change the World for the Better - Scientific American
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/population-decline-will-change-the-world-for-the-better/

Population Decline Will Change the World for the Better

A future with fewer people offers increased opportunity and a healthier environment

Scientific American