Scott M. GraffiusThis article explores the 3 vital rules of science. Together, they offer a powerful lens for evaluating the validity of claims and conclusions.
#Science #CriticalThinking #Falsifiability #Replicability #Correlation #Causation
Bodhi ๅฟThe #research journey continues to see if Rupert Sheldrakeโs idea of #morphic #resonance and #formative #causation might support an argument that we can influence the #evolution of a more-compassionate society by training our own heart-mind in #compassion using practices such as #metta-bhavana and the Four Immeasurables of #Buddhism. 1/n ๐งต
Eric Maugendre about dataDirected Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and Regression for Causal Inference
by Susan Alber (2022) https://health.ucdavis.edu/media-resources/ctsc/documents/pdfs/directed-acyclic-graphs20220209.pdf
#intervention #policy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #causation #confounding #DAG #DAGs #graphs
Phil GreerUltimately, any "intelligence" we perceive in these models is projected by us. The model only understands the mathematical links between variables and outcomes. As George Box famously noted: "All models are wrong, but some are useful."
This tread is about generative AI and AGI in general and Large Language Models in particular.
#machinelearning #ai #llm #correlation #causalinference #causation
5/5
Richard Michael Blaberhttps://theconversation.com/can-a-psychedelic-induced-mystical-experience-really-improve-your-mental-health-274330; https://akjournals.com/view/journals/2054/7/1/article-p18.xml (full text); https://psychology-tools.com/test/meq-30. "Correlation does not equal #causation. A large body of #psychiatric #research warns against assuming that because 2 things occur together, 1 must cause the other. Mystical experiences may simply be 1 visible marker of other processes, such as increased emotional openness, the development of new neural connections or changes in entrenched beliefs."
Don Curren ๐จ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฆ#Causation, with regard to #massshootings, is very complex, defying simple-minded and polarizing attempts to attach blame. I wrote about it in the early days of my Curren(t) Thinking blog. doncurren.blogspot.com/2022/06/its-...
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5zca2ola2zxpkw37w4f3wxtu/post/3meu63giaks24
Itโs People with Guns that Kil...
RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5zca2ola2zxpkw37w4f3wxtu/post/3meu63giaks24
Itโs People with Guns that Kil...
PhilosophicsReality Happens Once. Facts Happen Many Times. After writing about 'The Trouble with Facts' yesterday, I realised that the polysemy of 'facts' introduces category errors. Not all facts are created equal.
๐ https://philosophics.blog/2026/01/23/reality-happens-once-facts-happen-many-times/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social
#philosophy #language #ontology #epistemology #facts #objectivity #cognition #perception #memory #law #evidence #polysemy #truth #podcast #blog #reasoning #rationality #causation
๐ https://philosophics.blog/2026/01/23/reality-happens-once-facts-happen-many-times/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social
#philosophy #language #ontology #epistemology #facts #objectivity #cognition #perception #memory #law #evidence #polysemy #truth #podcast #blog #reasoning #rationality #causation
The trouble with facts is that they cannot be directly observed.
https://philosophics.blog/2026/01/22/the-trouble-with-facts/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social
#philosophy #epistemology #ontology #facts #objectivity #mediation #interpretation #causation #abduction #posthoc #cognitivebias #perception #sensemaking #philosophyofscience #philosophyoflaw #legalreasoning #intent #responsibility #evidence #experts #surveillance #mapandterritory #languageinsufficiency #disintegration #antimodernity #blog #podcast #science
https://philosophics.blog/2026/01/22/the-trouble-with-facts/?utm_source=masto&utm_medium=social
#philosophy #epistemology #ontology #facts #objectivity #mediation #interpretation #causation #abduction #posthoc #cognitivebias #perception #sensemaking #philosophyofscience #philosophyoflaw #legalreasoning #intent #responsibility #evidence #experts #surveillance #mapandterritory #languageinsufficiency #disintegration #antimodernity #blog #podcast #science
rhetoricPro Tips
Run the Natural Experiment: Find a case where the 'cause' happened accidentally in one group but not another. Compare outcomes.
Persuade with Doubt: To persuade others, don't just state your conclusion. Walk them through your CROSS test. Showing your work builds credibility.
#Causation #DecisionMaking #CriticalThinking #Communication #Influence #Leadership #Strategy #Psychology #CognitiveBias #Analysis (5/5)
I've long had an issue with the English 'why'. Dan Dennett had similar misgivings.
The term in English carries a lot of metaphysical baggage โ more than necessary.
#language #semantics #metaphysics #philosophy #perception #weaselwords #intent #causation #truth #meaning #notebooklm #claude #chatgpt #genai
