Mastodawn

There is a fly in the room which keeps landing on my laptop screen. I am documenting which toots it reads and then whether it rubs it's little front legs together or not. #causation #association #animalbehaviour101

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Eric Maugendre about carbon Apr 19

New study uses causal inference to demonstrate that we would avoid 20 % methane emissions if one commodity was replaced.
I have just published a preprint article at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#decoupling #agriculture #beef #cattle #carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy #vegan #climateChange #GreenhouseForcing #greenhouseEffect

Eric Maugendre about carbon Apr 19

New study uses causal analysis to demonstrate big reductions in carbon emissions if fewer bovines.
In ten years, methane emissions from all activities if bovine stop would be 80 % of methane emissions from all activities if no intervention.
Results and causation are presented at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19019693

#carbon #causality #causalInference #causation #confounding #counterFactuals #emissions #GHG #methane #offPolicy #policy #publicPolicy

Scott M. Graffius Apr 17

This article explores the 3 vital rules of science. Together, they offer a powerful lens for evaluating the validity of claims and conclusions.

🔗 https://www.scottgraffius.com/blog/files/3-vital-rules-of-science-what-they-are-and-why-they-matter.html

#Science #CriticalThinking #Falsifiability #Replicability #Correlation #Causation

Bodhi 心 Apr 11

The #research journey continues to see if Rupert Sheldrake’s idea of #morphic #resonance and #formative #causation might support an argument that we can influence the #evolution of a more-compassionate society by training our own heart-mind in #compassion using practices such as #metta-bhavana and the Four Immeasurables of #Buddhism. 1/n 🧵

#dhamma

https://open.substack.com/pub/analogymagazine/p/fields-of-being-on-morphic-resonance?r=6crly4&utm_medium=ios

Fields of Being: On Morphic Resonance

by Rupert Sheldrake

analogy

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Eric Maugendre about data Apr 9

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and Regression for Causal Inference
by Susan Alber (2022) https://health.ucdavis.edu/media-resources/ctsc/documents/pdfs/directed-acyclic-graphs20220209.pdf

#intervention #policy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #causation #confounding #DAG #DAGs #graphs

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Phil Greer Apr 6

Ultimately, any "intelligence" we perceive in these models is projected by us. The model only understands the mathematical links between variables and outcomes. As George Box famously noted: "All models are wrong, but some are useful."

This tread is about generative AI and AGI in general and Large Language Models in particular.

#machinelearning #ai #llm #correlation #causalinference #causation

5/5

Richard Michael Blaber Feb 20

https://theconversation.com/can-a-psychedelic-induced-mystical-experience-really-improve-your-mental-health-274330; https://akjournals.com/view/journals/2054/7/1/article-p18.xml (full text); https://psychology-tools.com/test/meq-30. "Correlation does not equal #causation. A large body of #psychiatric #research warns against assuming that because 2 things occur together, 1 must cause the other. Mystical experiences may simply be 1 visible marker of other processes, such as increased emotional openness, the development of new neural connections or changes in entrenched beliefs."

Can a psychedelic-induced mystical experience really improve your mental health?

Psychedelic therapy often promises transcendent mystical experiences. But research suggests context and expectation may matter more than the trip itself.

The Conversation