#CLE #OHwx 807
FXUS61 KCLE 131820
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
220 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes to the forecast or the overall expected
pattern change beginning this weekend.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Lake effect/lake enhanced rain showers expected in low level
northwest flow behind the cold front that has just moved southeast
of the CWA.

2) Significant warming trend expected beginning https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202605131820-KCLE-FXUS61-AFDCLE

#CLE #OHwx 538
FXUS61 KCLE 131746
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
146 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Forecast remains on track, overall, including periods of
unsettled weather through tomorrow.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Below-average temperatures, overall, are expected through
Thursday night.

2) Unsettled weather is expected today through Thursday.

3) A warming trend is expected this Friday through Monday.

&&

.DI https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202605131746-KCLE-FXUS61-AFDCLE

#CLE #OHwx 896
WWUS81 KCLE 131720
SPSCLE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
120 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

OHZ023-033-131745-
Mahoning OH-Trumbull OH-
120 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN TRUMBULL AND
EASTERN MAHONING COUNTIES THROUGH 145 PM EDT...

At 119 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Maplewood Park, or near Youngstown, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202605131720-KCLE-WWUS81-SPSCLE

#CLE #OHwx 723
ACUS11 KWNS 131642
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131641
PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-131915-

Mesoscale Discussion 0711
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1141 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Areas affected...southwest PA...southeast OH...and parts of WV

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 131641Z - 131915Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated strong wind gusts and hail are possible this
afternoon. A severe thunderstorm watch i https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2026/md0711.html

#CLE #OHwx 772
WWUS81 KCLE 131639
SPSCLE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1239 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

PAZ003-131730-
Crawford PA-
1239 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY THROUGH
130 PM EDT...

At 1239 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Canadohta Lake to near Meadville. Movement was
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202605131639-KCLE-WWUS81-SPSCLE

#CLE #OHwx 177
WUUS01 KWNS 131622
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026

VALID TIME 131630Z - 141200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05 34470149 34770196 35830245 36740175 36580084 36110025
35310000 34720036 34470149
0.05 40038093 41337967 41797841 41777694 41217713 39117990
39128135 39608140 40038093
&&

... WIND ...

0.05 4121804 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2026/day1otlk_20260513_1630.html

#CLE #OHwx 578
WWUS81 KCLE 131618
SPSCLE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1218 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

OHZ022-023-033-131700-
Portage OH-Mahoning OH-Trumbull OH-
1218 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT TRUMBULL...SOUTHERN PORTAGE AND
NORTHERN MAHONING COUNTIES THROUGH 100 PM EDT...

At 1217 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Leavittsburg to near Ravenna. Move https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202605131618-KCLE-WWUS81-SPSCLE

#CLE #OHwx 189
WWUS81 KCLE 131602
SPSCLE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1202 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

PAZ003-131645-
Crawford PA-
1202 PM EDT Wed May 13 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CRAWFORD COUNTY THROUGH 1245 PM
EDT...

At 1201 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Harmonsburg to near Kinsman. Movement was
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch h https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202605131602-KCLE-WWUS81-SPSCLE

#CLE #OHwx 716
ACUS11 KWNS 131557
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131556
NYZ000-PAZ000-131830-

Mesoscale Discussion 0710
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1056 AM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Areas affected...portions of western/central NY into
northern/western PA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 131556Z - 131830Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A band of thunderstorms may bring locally gusty winds and
small hail to portions of western/central https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2026/md0710.html

#CLE #OHwx 886
WWUS81 KCLE 131536
SPSCLE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1136 AM EDT Wed May 13 2026

OHZ014-023-PAZ003-131615-
Trumbull OH-Ashtabula Inland OH-Crawford PA-
1136 AM EDT Wed May 13 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN TRUMBULL...SOUTHEASTERN
ASHTABULA AND SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 PM EDT...

At 1134 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Andover https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=202605131536-KCLE-WWUS81-SPSCLE