Interest rate swaps surge sharply following Iran-U.S. conflict as foreign hedge funds bet on oil-driven rate hikes, widening the spread with spot bond yields to 43.30bp from 28.20bp since late February, though major institutions assess domestic rate hike probability at only 10% even under extended war scenarios.
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Hedge Funds Bet on Oil-Driven Rate Hikes as Bond-Swap Spread Widens
Interest rate swaps surge sharply following Iran-U.S. conflict as foreign hedge funds bet on oil-driven rate hikes, widening the spread with spot bond yields to 43.30bp from 28.20bp since late February, though major institutions assess domestic rate hike probability at only 10% even under extended war scenarios.
South Korea’s bond market is pricing in rate hike risks as the Bank of Korea ends its easing stance, with mid- to short-term bond swap spreads widening amid increased hedging and reduced foreign investor support.
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Widening Mid- to Short-Term Bond Swap Spreads—Reflecting Rate Hike Risks?
South Korea’s bond market is pricing in rate hike risks as the Bank of Korea ends its easing stance, with mid- to short-term bond swap spreads widening amid increased hedging and reduced foreign investor support.
South Korea’s short-term bond swap spread has widened to its highest level in a year, driven by a surge in CD rates and relative strength in Monetary Stabilization Bonds, prompting increased buying interest in short-term IRS and signaling continued market volatility.
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Short-Term Bond Swap Spread Widens to One-Year High, Attracting Buyers
South Korea’s short-term bond swap spread has widened to its highest level in a year, driven by a surge in CD rates and relative strength in Monetary Stabilization Bonds, prompting increased buying interest in short-term IRS and signaling continued market volatility.
South Korea's bond swap spread inversion hit a year-to-date high amid concerns over the extra budget, with the 10-year spread reaching -25.5bp before narrowing slightly; analysts expect the trend to persist as market supply pressures and shifting demand dynamics continue to influence yields.
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Bond Swap Spread Inversion Hits Year-to-Date High—Is Extra Budget Weighing on Markets?
South Korea's bond swap spread inversion hit a year-to-date high amid concerns over the extra budget, with the 10-year spread reaching -25.5bp before narrowing slightly; analysts expect the trend to persist as market supply pressures and shifting demand dynamics continue to influence yields.
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