Forecasters predict another active 2025 Atlantic hurricane season

Colorado State University’s hurricane forecasting team is calling for yet another unusually active season with 17 named storms, nine hurricanes, and four major hurricanes.

Yale Climate Connections

Via #YaleClimateConnections #EyeOnTheStorm
#BobHenson and #JeffMasters
#AMOC
Note this is part 2/2. Read both parts of the article for the bigger picture

How much should you worry about a collapse of the Atlantic conveyor belt?
https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/12/how-much-should-you-worry-about-a-collapse-of-the-atlantic-conveyor-belt

Also note : Some of us are actively looking at the same problem from another context -What will it take to keep #AMOC where it is now? It’s an approach that forward biases pole meltwater and methane as accelerants. Not pretty in the short term

How much should you worry about a collapse of the Atlantic conveyor belt?

Scientists warned recently that the risk "has so far been greatly underestimated."

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Atlantic circulation collapse? New clues on the fate of a crucial conveyor belt

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, which includes the Gulf Stream, is vital to Earth's climate. Its weakening could spell disaster.

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Category 4 Beryl on collision course with Windward Islands

Beryl is the Atlantic's first June category 4 hurricane on record, and will be one of the strongest hurricanes ever to affect the Windward Islands.

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Real winter finally roars into the United States

Mildness and bare ground are quickly segueing into a volley of severe thunderstorms, flooding rains, blizzard conditions, and high winds.

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"Residents in evacuation areas should heed evacuation orders quickly. Idalia is expected to accelerate its forward speed, so landfall & conditions will rapidly deteriorate beginning late Tuesday morning in[to] the afternoon across the warned areas in Florida."

"…Idalia (or its remnants) could linger along the SE U.S. coast through the weekend…"

#Idalia discussion from #JeffMasters & #BobHenson

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/08/hurricane-and-storm-surge-warnings-for-florida-as-idalia-heads-north/

Hurricane and storm surge warnings for Florida as Idalia heads north

Idalia is expected to intensify into a major hurricane before striking Florida's northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday morning.

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@ai6yr

Lotsa good info from #BobHenson & #JeffMasters re #Idalia – compares to "The most recent hurricane to hit the Big Bend region of Florida was Hurricane Hermine, which hit just east of St. Marks as a Category 1 hurricane with 80 mph winds…" whose "highest measured storm surge was 7.5 ft above normal tide levels at Cedar Key, which lay about 100 miles to the east of Hermine’s path." Notes full moon Wed. night; high tide at #CedarKey Wed.1:45pm EDT https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2023/08/tropical-storm-idalia-soon-to-enter-gulf-and-intensify/

Tropical Storm Idalia soon to enter Gulf and intensify

The tropical storm is predicted to make landfall on the Gulf Coast of Florida as a hurricane by early Wednesday.

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NOAA makes it official: El Niño is here

After a warm, dry May, El Niño could bring major moisture later this year.

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The massive smoke plume choking the northeast U.S. is what climate change looks like

Unearthly skies and unhealthy air resulting from Canadian wildfires may persist for days.

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