@eskealler @anderslund @folfdk @Mads5408 Det minder mig om den fantastiske bog fra 2023, How Big Things Get Done af Bent Flyvbjerg, der har forsket i projektledelse og har en kæmpe database med data om mere end 16.000 projekter. https://www.itu.dk/Om-ITU/Presse/Nyheder/2023/How-Big-Things-Get-Done-af-Bent-Flyvbjerg-modtager-imponerende-omtale-i-medier-verden-over
https://www.zetland.dk/historie/s8D3lLNk-meEl96YM-5687c
#BlackSwans
#StrategicMisrepresentation
#CommitmentFallacy
#EternalBeginnerSyndrome
#ThinkSlowActFast
#BentFlyvbjerg
Bent Flyvbjerg, professor ved IT-Universitetet og University of Oxford, har for nyligt fået udgivet sin bog How Big Things Get Done. Bogen har fået en storslået modtagelse og massiv presseomtale i hele verden.
From the excellent Good Law Project.
Men in powerful academic positions need to know they will not get away with whatever they like without consequences. It happens far too often.
https://goodlawproject.org/bent-flyvbjerg-is-the-oxford-academic-said-to-have-raped-colleague/
The law of regression to the tail: How to survive Covid-19(#LongCovid),#BirdFlu #H5N1, the #ClimateCrisis, and other #Disasters
Prof. #BentFlyvbjerg: "Instead, decision makers will want to do two things: (a) "cut the tail," to reduce risk by mitigation, and (b) practice the precautionary principle, i.e., avoid tail risk altogether by taking a cautious approach."
Regression to the mean is nice and reliable. Regression to the tail is reliably scary. We live in the age of regression to the tail. It is only a matter of time until a pandemic worse than covid-19 will hit us, and climate more extreme than any we ...
The law of regression to the tail: How to survive Covid-19(#LongCovid),#BirdFlu #H5N1, the #ClimateCrisis, and other #Disasters
Prof. #BentFlyvbjerg: "Instead, decision makers will want to do two things: (a) "cut the tail," to reduce risk by mitigation, and (b) practice the precautionary principle, i.e., avoid tail risk altogether by taking a cautious approach."
Regression to the mean is nice and reliable. Regression to the tail is reliably scary. We live in the age of regression to the tail. It is only a matter of time until a pandemic worse than covid-19 will hit us, and climate more extreme than any we ...
The law of regression to the tail: How to survive Covid-19(#LongCovid),#BirdFlu #H5N1, the #ClimateCrisis, and other #Disasters
Prof. #BentFlyvbjerg: "Instead, decision makers will want to do two things: (a) "cut the tail," to reduce risk by mitigation, and (b) practice the precautionary principle, i.e., avoid tail risk altogether by taking a cautious approach."
Regression to the mean is nice and reliable. Regression to the tail is reliably scary. We live in the age of regression to the tail. It is only a matter of time until a pandemic worse than covid-19 will hit us, and climate more extreme than any we ...
Bent is wise. #MegaProjects #bentflyvbjerg
Most infrastructure projects are late, over budget. He hopes to fix that. https://www.washingtonpost.com/transportation/2023/04/28/infrastructure-projects-time-budget/
They say never meet your heroes, but ones you can make blush via a LinkedIn post can't be all bad.
So apparently one of my favourite authors in #policy and #management, Prof. Bent Flyvbjerg (who I really wish would come to Mastodon), has a new collab book out with Dan Gardner:
“How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything In Between”
Very much looking forward to reading it.
https://a.co/d/7VCOrLZ (Amazon book link)
(4) Get BIG things done: #LEGO fix
LEGO picking the plastic brick in the 1950s as the centerpiece of its business = a fitting #corporatestrategy: LEGO turned a small thing into something much bigger.
“That’s the question every project leader should ask: What is the small thing we can #assemble in large numbers into a big thing?What’s our LEGO?”
-#BentFlyvbjerg, #Oxford economist.
0.5% of big projects: delivered on budget. Dr. #Flyvbjerg’s lessons on why they succeed, are the LEGO fix.
Bettina Hartmann
Eye
Bass #Antifa #EcoHumanist
Richard R Lee
beSpacific
Aria Burrell 🇨🇦
Renee