Tail end of latest #Canadian poll #results:
[...]
39. The skateboarding dog.
40. Small child trips over own feet, does a header, and screams for five minutes.
41. Flaming bag of dogshit left on front porch.
42. That important guy who died in, what, 2018?
43. None of the above.
44. Pierre Poilievre.
(Why, "Who would you trust to run the Canadian government correctly?", of course.)
#AngusReid #survey #poll #CanPol #Canada #politics #Poilievre #PierrePoilievre #PP #CPC #trust #politician #POS
Fun fact:
"Did you know that Hamish Marshall, former #Conservative leader Andrew Scheer's campaign manager, was director of public affairs at #AngusReid Public Opinion?
Mr. Marshall also a board member for The Rebel, the far-right propaganda outlet helmed by Ezra Levant. Mr. Levant & current Con leader Mr. #Poilievre have been friends for over 20 years.
Marshall was also involved in campaigns for Wildrose Party in #Alberta. Same party Tamara Lich belonged to.
Funny little connection eh?"
"Who wins the #BC provincial debate tonight?
My money is on Shachi Kurl". 😬
--Wally Kibler
#angusReid #conservative #bias #Bcpoli #BCElxn2024
@gemelliz There was a great Macleans magazine bullseye data visualization in 2021 comparing Canadian pollsters biases or ‘House effects’ against actual election outcomes. (Unfortunately, the image of the visualization doesn’t load anymore but the text remains.)
Angus Reid was the significant outlier - here’s the Macleans commentary: “We see here the opposite tendency of IRG: Virtually all of Angus Reid’s polls are located in the upper-left quadrant, meaning high CPC and low LPC numbers compared to the poll average. This also shows a systematic house effect. Of note: In the last two federal elections, the Angus Reid Institute was well within the margin of error away from the final CPC result (but it underestimated the Liberal vote.) And interestingly, the measurable tilt towards the federal conservatives does not translate into a noticeable skew in Angus Reid’s provincial polls.”
https://macleans.ca/politics/ottawa/federal-election-2021-know-your-pollsters/
338.com gives Angus Reid a B+ middle of the pack rating based on recent provincial elections. With a C on the election in Quebec though, any of their national poll results have to be doubtful, so Macleans 2021 analysis appears to hold.
The Missing Political Middle: One-third of Canadians say they feel like ‘orphans’ as parties move farther apart
‘Extremism’ and ‘polarization’ have become common terms framing the discussion of Canada’s political scene
New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute find many believe Canada’s two biggest political parties have moved towards the fringes and away from the middle when it comes to their political beliefs
Half of Canadians believe no federal political party ‘really represents’ their views September 12, 2024 – ‘Extremism’ and ‘polarization’ have become common terms framing the discussion of Canada’s political scene. As federal political parties take turns labelling the other as extremists, there is widespread belief that political options are abandoning the middle. New data from...
C.
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