Saxafi MediaMay 12

Growing rivalry b/t #Turkey & #Israel in #HornOfAfrica could create the exact conditions #AlShabaab thrives on: #PpoliticalFragmentation, #ProxyCompetition & #Security vacuums. Analysts warn escalating tensions over #Somaliland risk destabilizing the region further.

https://saxafimedia.com/turkey-aggression-horn-africa-al-shabaab/

How Turkey’s Aggression In The Horn Of Africa Could Benefit Al-Shabaab | Saxafi Media

This article, “How Turkey’s Aggression in the Horn of Africa Could Benefit Al-Shabaab,” argues that Turkey's assertive foreign policy in the Horn of Africa, particularly its strong relationship with Somalia, combined with Israel's growing ties with Somaliland, could inadvertently benefit Al-Shabaab.

SaxafiMedia
Saxafi MediaMay 5

Experts warn #Somali #terror groups could escalate attacks in the #BabelMandeb, amplifying disruption in the #StraitOfHormuz and threatening global #shipping routes. #Houthis #Somaliland #RedSeaSecurity #AlShabaab #Piracy #Pirates

https://saxafimedia.com/somali-terror-groups-hormuz-bab-el-mandeb-piracy/

Somali Terror Groups Could Tighten Hormuz Chokehold Through Bab-el-Mandeb Piracy, Experts Say | Saxafi Media

Analysts warn Somali terror groups like Al-Shabaab could escalate attacks in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, compounding disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and threatening global trade routes.

SaxafiMedia
Home ━ The European Conservative [Unofficial]Apr 9

British Citizen Charged With Leading Somali Terrorist Group

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://europeanconservative.com/articles/news-corner/british-citizen-charged-with-leading-somali-terrorist-group/

Mathieu GottelandMar 6

Uncertain times ahead for #Somalia

As promised by president Hassan Sheikh Mohamud when he was elected 4 years ago, Somalia’s constitution has been finalized — nearly 14 years after a provisory text came into force.

To get there, he has had to prioritize state-building and this end goal over fighting the Shabaab and over a precarious status quo in relations between the federal level and Somali states.

https://www.theeastafrican.co.ke/tea/news/east-africa/somalia-new-constitution-to-extend-presidents-term-5380586

#terrorism #AlShabaab #Africa

Headlines AfricaFeb 18
Somalia: Government announces progress in fight against Al-Shabaab http://newsfeed.facilit8.network/TR22Kf #Somalia #AlShabaab #CounterTerrorism #Security #Government
Show threadMathieu GottelandFeb 16

- It is very likely that after a no less than miraculous advance in the first months of #Somalia ’s “total war” against #AlShabaab, the continued degradation of the security situation in the country since 2023 has been the main factor preventing her from making the list.

#Italy

Show threadMathieu GottelandFeb 15

- #Turkey now operates the port and airport of Mogadishu, which also hosts her largest military base abroad. She has been a major ally against #AlShabaab, including providing TB2 drones and attack helicopters, training her police and military (including the elite Gorgor). She holds banking, mining, #oil, #gas concessions.

#Somalia

Headlines AfricaFeb 12
Egyptian troops take part in training ahead of AU deployment in Somalia http://newsfeed.facilit8.network/TQw0GT #EgyptianTroops #AUSomalia #AlShabaab #Peacekeeping #Mogadishu
Saxafi MediaFeb 8

#Turkey has crossed a red line in #Somalia. With F-16s deployed to #Mogadishu & #Turkish troops fighting #AlShabaab, #Ankara has shifted from trainer to combatant—reshaping SO’s war & #HornOfAfrica #Geopolitics. #Somaliland

https://saxafimedia.com/turkey-somalia-kinetic-f16-strategic-shift/

Turkey’s Somalia Policy Turns Kinetic: F-16 Deployment And Direct Combat Mark A Strategic Shift | Saxafi Media

Turkey has escalated its military role in Somalia, deploying F-16s and engaging directly in combat against al-Shabaab. This analysis explores the military, political, and geopolitical consequences of Ankara’s new kinetic posture

SaxafiMedia
Show threadMathieu GottelandFeb 6

- When #Ethiopia #Somalia relations normalized, Southwest cooperated again with Mogadishu. Trust remains minimal.

- The onus on state-building means voter registration and a new income tax added fuel to the fire.

- The prospect of general OPOV elections in 2026 - including at the local, regional and federal levels makes the situation all the more volatile.

The capital of Southwest is encircled by #AlShabaab. Local infighting as well as Southwest-Federal tensions naturally play in their hands