The #RSF, after taking over #AlJazirah in December, are now in control of #Sennar state. #BlueNile state is isolated and #Gedaref is close at hand. These new frontlines reach the Ethiopian border.

#Ethiopia, like #Egypt, is wary of accepting Sudanese refugees, at all, or in larger numbers.

#Sudan #Ethiopia

The #RSF capture of #AlJazirah was a blow to morale, but the loss of #Sennar state is a disaster of yet another scale. Dinder is contested - although now under RSF control - and allied rebel groups might give the RSF a harder time on this new front from Al Fau to the Ethiopian border. The #SAF also made some progress in Omdurman, recapturing a neighbourhood in the West of the city recently.

#Sudan

#AlJazirah and #Sennar are or were the economic and agricultural centre of the country. Their loss together with the ruin of #Khartoum means that the Sudanese people should brace for ever more difficult times.

#Sudan

What the #RSF control over #Sennar means for #Sudan

6 months ago, the RSF took over the state of #AlJazirah and its capital Wad Madani. A RSF raid already tried to reach Sennar town (which has the same name as the state but is not its capital) but had to retreat under #SAF bombardment.

Those same formerly neutral groups are now joining the #SAF offensive on #AlJazirah, which, although dubbed "multi-pronged", is coming chiefly from the east. Smaller forces in the west and south are also engaging the #RSF however.

https://sudantribune.com/article284147/

#Sudan

That last victory gave the impetus the #SAF needed to survive politically and a counter offensive was announced to liberate both #Khartum and #AlJazirah. Formerly neutral rebel groups from #Darfur (#SLM-MM, #JEM, #GSLEF), now allied to the SAF, gathered and trained in Eastern #Sudan and #Eritrea, while also joining an SAF offensive in Khartum's twin-city Omdurman that managed to break the deadlock on this side of the capital. Their advance is grinding and slow, and the RSF step back but remain.

Burhan (#SAF) launches offensive to retake #AlJazirah (#Sudan)

The region had been conquered by the #RSF last December, after which they momentarily reached Sennar city and launched raids to the east in #Gedaref state. Sudan's agricultural and economic heartland has been an uneasy prey to digest however. While #WhiteNile and #Sennar states were poorly defended and should have been easy targets, Hemedti's forces were grounded by widespread looting first, and SAF airstrikes second.

A warship, however, would be much less valuable for the #SAF at this moment of the war. The #RSF are nowhere near the coast and operations are either ongoing or soon to begin to reclaim parts of #Khartum and the state of #AlJazirah.

#Iran #Sudan

Babanusa falls

After 4 days of fighting, most of the city of Babanusa (West #Kordofan) is in the hands of the #RSF.

This new victory increases the momentum for the RSF, which consolidated their control over #Darfur in November, took control of #AlJazirah in December, and make steady progress in and around #Khartum.

There have been incursions in #Gedaref (East) and concerns for archaeological sites in #Merowe, 350 km north of the capital.

https://sudanwarmonitor.com/p/sudan-army-at-risk-of-another-disaster

Sudan army at risk of another disaster in Babanusa

RSF forces converge on West Kordofan town

Sudan War Monitor