BakersRelay is prepping for severe weather tomorrow in Virginia. To follow the outbreak in the Tennessee Valley and GA, FL please follow the following addressss / links / hashtags:
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#ARwx #LAwx #MSwx #TNwx #SevereWX
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 29
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme southeast Arkansas
Extreme northeast Louisiana
Northern Mississippi
Southern part of western Tennessee
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will spread eastward from Arkansas into
Tennessee and northern Mississippi, with an expected increase in the
threat for wind damage and large hail through the afternoon.
Additional, more isolated storm development is expected across the
Ark-La-Miss, where a couple of supercells will be possible. Storm
interactions across the watch area could support an isolated tornado
or two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles north of
Greenville MS to 35 miles east southeast of Tupelo MS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
Mesoscale Discussion 0178
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0832 AM CDT Mon Mar 09 2026
Areas affected...Parts of southern Arkansas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely
Valid 091332Z - 091500Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent
SUMMARY...Risk of severe hail and perhaps locally damaging gusts will continue spreading eastward across southern Arkansas into this afternoon. A watch will be issued shortly.
DISCUSSION...A cluster of elevated splitting supercells is ongoing across far southeastern OK this morning, which is being aided by large-scale forcing for ascent ahead of a low-amplitude midlevel impulse and broad/weak low-level warm advection. As the impulse continues eastward, these storms (and additional development) will continue eastward across southern AR into this afternoon. Around 40 to 50 kt of midlevel flow (per nearby VWP) and steep midlevel lapserates will favor large hail with primarily elevated supercells. Diurnal heating may eventually support surface-based storms, with an increase in the damaging-wind risk, as this activity continues eastward. A watch will be issued shortly for southern AR.
..Weinman/Thompson.. 03/09/2026
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 28
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and southern Arkansas
Extreme souheast Oklahoma
* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 845 AM until 300 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of thunderstorms will spread eastward from southeast Oklahoma into Arkansas through the morning, with additional storm development possible into southern Arkansas. Large hail (1-2 inches in diameter) will be the main threat through the morning, though upscale storm growth could support the potential for some wind damage by late morning into early afternoon.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north of De Queen AR to 45 miles east of Pine Bluff AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
#OKwx #ARwx #LAwx #TXwx #SevereWeather
Mesoscale Discussion 0177
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0710 AM CDT Mon Mar 09 2026
Areas affected...Parts of southeast OK/northeast TX into AR and far
northwest LA
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 091210Z - 091415Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms are possible this morning.
DISCUSSION...Elevated convection has developed across parts of
south-central/southeast OK this morning, within a low-level
warm-advection regime and in advance of a low-amplitude midlevel
shortwave trough moving across OK. Increasing moisture in the
850-700 mb layer beneath relatively steep midlevel lapse rates is
resulting in MUCAPE values of greater than 1000 J/kg from north TX
into AR, which will aid in the development of potentially robust
updrafts. Coverage of storms through mid morning remains somewhat
uncertain, due to the only modest large-scale ascent associated with
the weakening shortwave trough. However, moderate mid/upper-level
flow will support sufficient effective shear for some storm
organization, with any sustained robust updrafts becoming capable of
producing large hail and locally gusty winds.
Watch issuance is considered unlikely in the short term, with the
expectation that the severe threat will generally remain isolated
through mid morning. Greater severe potential is still expected from
late morning into the afternoon across parts of AR/MS, when
surface-based destabilization becomes more supportive of organized
cells and/or clusters.
..Dean/Mosier.. 03/09/2026
@easwatch #EAS #WEA for #Chicot, #ARwx #EastCarroll, #LAwx #Issaquena, #MSwx #Washington, #MS: National Weather Service: #TORNADO WARNING in this area until 3:00 PM CST. Take shelter now in a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Check media. Source: NWS Jackson MS
** DO NOT RELY ON THIS FEED FOR LIFE SAFETY, SEEK OUT OFFICIAL SOURCES *
@easwatch #EAS #WEA for #Crittenden, #ARwx #Mississippi, #AR; #Shelby, #TNwx #Tipton, #TN: National Weather Service: #TORNADO WARNING in this area until 10:45 AM CST. Take shelter now in a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Check media. Source: NWS Memphis TN
** DO NOT RELY ON THIS FEED FOR LIFE SAFETY, SEEK OUT OFFICIAL SOURCES ***
#ARwx #MOwx #MSwx #TNwx #SevereWeather
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 23
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
755 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Arkansas
The Missouri Bootheel
Northern Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 755 AM until
200 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters will continue to move eastward this
morning and early afternoon while posing a threat for mainly
scattered damaging winds. Peak gusts may reach up to 60-70 mph, and
a brief tornado or two may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles north of
Dyersburg TN to 25 miles west southwest of Monticello AR. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
BakersRelay
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