RE: https://dair-community.social/@emilymbender/116098129762953036
Professor Emily M. Bender's replies are always so on point—huge recommendation if you want to know about the problems with #AI
#noAI #artificialIntelligence #LLMs #LargeLanguageModels #genAI #ChatBots #vibeCoding #TheAICon #ComputationalLinguistics #AgentsOfTech #DataWorkers #AI2027 #AGI #artificialGeneralIntelligence #GeoffreyHinton #AIReasoning #NeuralNetworks #EmilyBender #ReinforcementLearning #AIHype
Dự báo AI 2027 đạt 91% chính xác năm 2025, nghiên cứu mở rộng cảnh báo 2026 có thể khốc liệt. #AI #AI2027 #Predictions #CôngNghệ #TríTuệNhânTạo
"AI 2027 and AI as Normal Technology were both published in April of this year. Both were read much more widely than we, their authors, expected.
Some of us (Eli, Thomas, Daniel, the authors of AI 2027) expect AI to radically transform the world within the next decade, up to and including such sci-fi-sounding possibilities as superintelligence, nanofactories, and Dyson swarms. Progress will be continuous, but it will accelerate rapidly around the time that AIs automate AI research.
Others (Sayash and Arvind, the authors of AI as Normal Technology) think that the effects of AI will be much more, well, normal. Yes, we can expect economic growth, but it will be the gradual, year-on-year improvement that accompanied technological innovations like electricity or the internet, not a radical break in the arc of human history.
These are substantial disagreements, which have been partially hashed out here and here.
Nevertheless, we’ve found that all of us have more in common than you might expect.
In this essay, we’ve come together to discuss the ways in which we agree with each other on how AI progress is likely to proceed (or fail to proceed) over the next few years."
https://asteriskmag.substack.com/p/common-ground-between-ai-2027-and
#AI #GenerativeAI #AI2027 #AGI #AIAsNormalTechnology #NormalTechnology
Six months after the AI 2027 project launched, Andrej Karpathy on Dwarkesh Podcast argued for much longer timelines to superhuman coding agents. We review how AI Futures forecasters (Daniel Kokotajlo, Eli Lifland, Nikola Jurkovic) have updated their timelines, and examine whether frontier labs like OpenAI and Anthropic are actually investing in R&D automation—a key prerequisite for the AI 2027 scenario.
The Karpathy Interview, 6 Months After AI 2027
https://futuresearch.ai/ai-2027-6-months-later/
#HackerNews #KarpathyInterview #AI2027 #FutureOfAI #TechTalks #AITrends
Six months after the AI 2027 project launched, Andrej Karpathy on Dwarkesh Podcast argued for much longer timelines to superhuman coding agents. We review how AI Futures forecasters (Daniel Kokotajlo, Eli Lifland, Nikola Jurkovic) have updated their timelines, and examine whether frontier labs like OpenAI and Anthropic are actually investing in R&D automation—a key prerequisite for the AI 2027 scenario.