In January this year, the AI Futures Project released a long post detailing a variant of their popular fictional #AI2027 paper. In this, they follow a slightly different pattern: what if superhuman AIs compete for control instead of a single AI as previously written in the paper? #AI #AGI #ASI

What Happens When Superhuman A...
What Happens When Superhuman AIs Compete for Control?

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AI Futures Project
This Friday’s light read is an updated report from the researchers behind the #AI2027 paper about achieving #AGI (according to the TED-AI definition). #AI #GenAI #LLM #Anthropic #Claude #OpenAI #ChatGPT #GoogleDeepMind #Gemini

Q1 2026 Timelines Update
Q1 2026 Timelines Update

We told you we'd be updating in both directions!

AI Futures Project

In other news I just read #AI2027 & wow I'm so stressed 🫠 #AI

https://ai-2027.com/

AI 2027

A research-backed AI scenario forecast.

Dự báo AI 2027 đạt 91% chính xác năm 2025, nghiên cứu mở rộng cảnh báo 2026 có thể khốc liệt. #AI #AI2027 #Predictions #CôngNghệ #TríTuệNhânTạo

https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1pi2jqv/that_ai_2027_prediction_tracker_was_91_accurate/

Tới cuối 2025, 91% dự đoán AI năm 2027 đã thành hiện thực. Theo dõi từ bảng dữ liệu mở trên GitHub qua bài chia sẻ từ Reddit. #AI #Côngnghệ #AI2027 #Tech

https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1ph8i1g/91_of_predictions_from_ai_2027_have_come_true_eoy/

"AI 2027 and AI as Normal Technology were both published in April of this year. Both were read much more widely than we, their authors, expected.

Some of us (Eli, Thomas, Daniel, the authors of AI 2027) expect AI to radically transform the world within the next decade, up to and including such sci-fi-sounding possibilities as superintelligence, nanofactories, and Dyson swarms. Progress will be continuous, but it will accelerate rapidly around the time that AIs automate AI research.

Others (Sayash and Arvind, the authors of AI as Normal Technology) think that the effects of AI will be much more, well, normal. Yes, we can expect economic growth, but it will be the gradual, year-on-year improvement that accompanied technological innovations like electricity or the internet, not a radical break in the arc of human history.

These are substantial disagreements, which have been partially hashed out here and here.

Nevertheless, we’ve found that all of us have more in common than you might expect.

In this essay, we’ve come together to discuss the ways in which we agree with each other on how AI progress is likely to proceed (or fail to proceed) over the next few years."

https://asteriskmag.substack.com/p/common-ground-between-ai-2027-and

#AI #GenerativeAI #AI2027 #AGI #AIAsNormalTechnology #NormalTechnology

Common Ground between AI 2027 & AI as Normal Technology

AI 2027 and AI as Normal Technology were both published in April of this year.

Asterisk Magazine
🎙️AI 2027: The Grand Delusion! 🚀 Listen in as our oracle Andrej Karpathy delicately dismantles the overzealous fortune-telling of "AI will take over by 2027." Apparently, turning visionary vaporware into actual software is still the biggest obstacle—who knew? 🤦‍♂️ #AIisStillComing #AI2027
https://futuresearch.ai/ai-2027-6-months-later/ #AI2027 #AIisStillComing #AndrejKarpathy #TechTalks #FutureOfAI #HackerNews #ngated
AI 2027, 6 Months Later

Six months after the AI 2027 project launched, Andrej Karpathy on Dwarkesh Podcast argued for much longer timelines to superhuman coding agents. We review how AI Futures forecasters (Daniel Kokotajlo, Eli Lifland, Nikola Jurkovic) have updated their timelines, and examine whether frontier labs like OpenAI and Anthropic are actually investing in R&D automation—a key prerequisite for the AI 2027 scenario.

FutureSearch
AI 2027, 6 Months Later

Six months after the AI 2027 project launched, Andrej Karpathy on Dwarkesh Podcast argued for much longer timelines to superhuman coding agents. We review how AI Futures forecasters (Daniel Kokotajlo, Eli Lifland, Nikola Jurkovic) have updated their timelines, and examine whether frontier labs like OpenAI and Anthropic are actually investing in R&D automation—a key prerequisite for the AI 2027 scenario.

FutureSearch