Self indulgent share of my #Reddit reply https://www.reddit.com/r/IsraelPalestine/s/tsfsBvvmit

Hamas are not going to surrender.

They're open to compromise, but they're not going to surrender. I hope South Africa can do magic twice somehow.

The possible outcomes are:

- Hamas stay in power

- Hamas survives (and either disarms or hands over government power to other Palestinians, probably not both)

- Hamas all get extrajudicially executed, not enough leadership left to recruit replacements. Palestine is annexed, or stays run by Abbas or another very unpopular self serving Western puppet. But that won't stop the resistance, and without Hamas leadership it will definitely get worse. Their bitter rival ISIS is one of the most likely. This risk is the second-biggest reason I want Hamas to survive. This outcome is more dangerous for me and everyone I love, we're not in Israel, So Hamas are no risk to us, but ISIS gaining support is a slight danger increase. This is no safer for Israel, and more dangerous for everyone else.

- The worst outcome is that it's Hamas genocide continues. Thie is the biggest reason I want Hamas to survive, Israel extrajudicially executes all Hamas members, but they are recruited just as fast. This, combined with bystanders being killed (allegedly unavoidable) will, if nobody stops the IDF, end up killing all 6 million Palestinians in the Occupied territories. I can't work out of this is the plan, but it's what will happen if the current situation continues and nobody stops Israel.

Somebody needs to do Israel, somehow.

The most workable peace is 2 demilitarised states. With some blue helmets and the protection guarantee the neighbouring Arab states offered. Make the whole Middle East a nuclear weapon free zone, etc. That MIGHT work. BUT two problems.

1. How do we get there?
The nuclear rogue state is never going to agree to this, because currently they've got the nukes. And more military hardware than all their neighbours combined. Nobody mentions the nukes, but I think they're a big oat of km

2. Israel's economy
Currently their economy hugely depends on the military for both exports and employment, that will be hard to replace. But somebody needs to find a way to force them somehow.

I'm not implying some unstated unmentionable easy to do Israel I actually have no idea how.

I hope South Africa wins. They managed to end apartheid and ditch the nukes that Israel helped the apartheid leadership acquire, It's been done once. They can't quite keep the lights on, but they solved both problems the currently feel unsolvable about Israel.

https://www.reddit.com/r/IsraelPalestine/s/tsfsBvvmit

cc me @kmpiw @kmpiw @kmpiw_hmpiw

#NuclearWeaponFreeZone #Demilitarize_Israel #demilitarizeisrael #2 #2demilitarizedStates #HamasGenocide #89secondstomidnight #89Seconds #90secondstomidnight #HAMASisISIS #HAMASisnotISIS

Doomsday clock moved to 90 seconds before midnight

#DoomsdayClock #90SecondsToMidnight #Climate

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https://just.news/preview/OvdCUBLz

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RT @[email protected]

The #DoomsdayClock is now at #90SecondsToMidnight.

We must work together to combat threats such as climate change.

How do you want to see the world #TurnBackTheClock? https://twitter.com/BulletinAtomic/status/1618043999150809088/photo/1

🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/BulletinAtomic/status/1618043999150809088

Atomic scientists set the "#DoomsdayClock" closer to midnight than ever before on Tuesday, saying threats of nuclear #war, #disease, and #climate volatility have been exacerbated by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, putting humanity at greater risk of annihilation.

The "Doomsday Clock," created by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists to illustrate how close humanity has come to the end of the world, moved its "time" in 2023 to #90SecondsToMidnight, 10 seconds closer than it is been for the past three years.

https://www.reuters.com/lifestyle/science/doomsday-clock-moves-90-seconds-midnight-nuclear-threat-rises-2023-01-24/

Today is the day the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists have moved the doomsday clock closer to midnight once again.

This time from the 100 seconds defined in 2020, to 90 seconds.

At the start of the Cold War the clock was set to 2 minutes.

Since 2010 the clock has not moved back at all, indicating a growing concern about our world and it's survivability.

Read more about the current time: https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/current-time/

#DoomsdayClock #90SecondsToMidnight

Got a lot to say about the Doomsday Clock closing in towards midnight, so I'll be posting an article on my Substack, sometime this week.

#DoomsdayClock #90SecondsToMidnight