Interesting to look at recent polls: the #Liberals are trending down (39%), the #CPC down a bit (38%), the #NDP and #BQ are up (10% and 7%). Those are very plausible trends given that PM #MarkCarney has moved his party rightwards, and that threats from the White House seem less urgent.
The result is that #338Canada no longer predicts a Liberal majority if an election were held today; they still give a 58% chance the Liberals would win the most seats.
Via #PhilippeJFournier of #338Canada
Léger #Alberta poll: "Indicate how much you support or oppose the following proposals: Alberta becoming a U.S. state."
80% Oppose
17% Support
#Léger, May 9-12, 2025
https://www.338canada.ca/p/leger-two-thirds-of-alberta-voters
So, #338canada is down, but here you go:
at a glance, how things *may* stand, based on projections.
En Français. #cdnPolitics #elxn45
From: https://qc125.com/canada/
And on this page are riding-by-riding projections. Also in French, but it's coulour-coded and, I mean, all the numbers are Arabic, right? 😁
Rising-level projections: https://qc125.com/canada/districts.htm
Important: The electoral projection website #338Canada is currently down due to attacks for the past 24 hours.
Some say it's to block people from using the district-level information for strategic voting.
The editor in chief, Philippe Fournier is suggesting to go to the French version of the website which is still accessible: https://qc125.com/canada/districts.htm
Canada is a democracy and those trying to disrupt it do not deserve to ever come here!
"According ... #338Canada published on Saturday, the #Liberals are ahead with 43 percent of the vote to the #Conservative's 38 percent. It predicted the Liberals will win 188 seats to the Conservative's125. ...
Meanwhile, according to prediction market #Polymarket, #Carney has a 77 percent chance of winning the election. #Poilievre, they say, has a 23 percent possibility. However, they predict the Liberals will win 164 seats and that the Conservatives will win 147."
https://www.newsweek.com/mark-carney-pierre-polievre-canada-election-polls-2061902
if strategic voting is necessary in your electoral district, you can use this tool, VoteWell, to assist you. It uses 338Canada data.
#canpoli
#cdnpoli
#votewell
#canadavotes
#strategicvoting
#338canada #Elxn45
March 30, 2025
Per #338Canada, if the election were held today, #MarkCarney and the #LiberalParty would win 192 seats, two more than yesterday, five more than on Thursday, March 27, and seven more than on Tuesday, March 25.
The most recent 2-seat gain comes at the expense of the #BlocQuebecois
March 29, 2025
#338Canada is now reporting that #MarkCarney and the #LiberalParty would win 190 seats if the #election were held today... Three more than on Thursday, March 27, and 5 more than on Tuesday, March 25.
The 3-seat gain come at the expense of the #Conservatives (lost 1) and the #BlocQuebecois (lost 2)
#338Canada is now reporting that #MarkCarney and the #LiberalParty would win 187 seats if the #election were held today... two more than on Tuesday. One of the seats they have gained is in #Quebec.
M. Grégoire
joe•iuculano 
Deborah Preuss, pcc 🇨🇦
Dom
Go Weapons Hot
ireadalot
